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Stress is a response to external environmental conditions that encourages individuals to pursue changes in their lives. We examine the relationship between stress and federal and provincial political leaders’ approval ratings. We theorize that, as a strategy to cope with the pandemic stresses outside of their direct control, individuals will redirect their frustrations toward incumbents. We hypothesize that greater experiences with stress will negatively correlate with the approval of political incumbents even among members of incumbents’ political in-group. We analyze data from the COVID-19 Monitor survey, a multi-wave, cross-sectional survey of over 56,000 Canadians. On three out of four measures, we find that stress negatively impacted incumbent approval, and that these negative impacts occur among the incumbent’s supporters and non-supporters. On the fourth measure, we find the effect of stress on approval is moderated, positive or negative, by whether regional leaders took action to limit the spread of coronavirus disease 2019.
In 2024, the U.S. Government introduced, and then quickly rescinded, a new policy to oversee Dual Use Research of Concern (DURC) and Pathogens with Enhanced Pandemic Potential (PEPP). This research explores how biosafety practitioners interpreted and assessed the policy itself and discussed challenges to implementation. An inductive, grounded theory approach was used to identify key insights from qualitative data generated at a 2-day deliberative workshop with 45 biosafety officers, compliance professionals and researchers; analysis was supported using NVivo software. Participants described the policy’s ambiguous language, lack of actionable federal guidance, limited legal scope and unfunded administrative burdens as significant barriers to implementation. Although supportive of the policy’s goals, workshop participants stressed the need for more precise definitions, practical examples and practitioner-informed implementation strategies. The findings demonstrate that durable and effective biosafety and biosecurity oversight requires early, substantive engagement with those operationalizing policy.
A novel family of statistical distributions, called enriched truncated exponentiated generalized family, is theoretically developed to model heavy-tailed data. One of the three-parameter sub-models of this family derived from log-logistic distribution is comprehensively studied. The statistical properties are explored, including moments and Fisher information matrix. In addition, tail-heaviness is studied using the tail-index approach. The method of maximum likelihood is used for parameter estimation, and existence and uniqueness of these estimators are shown. The flexibility of the new family is further validated by applying to the Norwegian fire insurance claim dataset. The goodness-of-fit measures are used to illustrate the adequacy of the proposed family of distributions. Furthermore, a backtesting procedure is conducted for well-known risk measures to assess the accuracy of the right tail fit.
The rise of digital money may bring about privately issued money that circulates across borders and coexists with public money. This paper uses an open-economy search model with multiple currencies to study the impact of such global money on monetary autonomy – the capacity of central banks to set a policy instrument. I show that the circulation of global money can entail a loss of monetary autonomy, but it can be preserved if government policy that limits the amount or use of global money for transactions is introduced or if the global currency is subject to the threat of counterfeiting. The result suggests that global digital money and monetary autonomy can be compatible.
This article addresses the questions of when mental health advance planning documents are created, the points when circumstances which they are intended to address arise and what consequences should flow when such a situation does arise. It addresses these points primarily from the perspective of what the law could/should be at a conceptual level. It looks at three stages: (a) creation of the document; (b) the period between the creation of the document and the point at which the intended circumstances arise; and (c) the point at which the intended circumstances arise. It does not purport to provide solutions at each stage, but rather to frame the dilemmas to aid discussion. In similar vein, it draws upon case studies from England & Wales, not to purport to dictate similarities of approach, but to flesh out dilemmas that have arisen to stimulate consideration.
The famous Sidorenko’s conjecture asserts that for every bipartite graph $H$, the number of homomorphisms from $H$ to a graph $G$ with given edge density is minimised when $G$ is pseudorandom. We prove that for any graph $H$, a graph obtained from replacing edges of $H$ by generalised theta graphs consisting of even paths satisfies Sidorenko’s conjecture, provided a certain divisibility condition on the number of paths. To achieve this, we prove unconditionally that bipartite graphs obtained from replacing each edge of a complete graph with a generalised theta graph satisfy Sidorenko’s conjecture, which extends a result of Conlon, Kim, Lee and Lee [J. Lond. Math. Soc., 2018].
Neurocognitive assessment is an essential research instrument for autism spectrum disorder (ASD), as the clinical manifestations are rooted in diverse neurocognitive processes that cause variation in clinical presentation. Few instruments comprehensively capture relevant neurocognitive domains, and most require professional assessors. The Penn Computerized Neurocognitive Battery (CNB) is widely used in child and adolescent psychiatry research across cultures. This study adapted and validated the CNB for a clinical ASD cohort in Hong Kong.
Method:
In this Hong Kong version of the CNB (CNB-HK), thirteen cognitive tasks were translated and adapted, with one task for sensorimotor speed and twelve belonging to four specific domains (episodic memory, social cognition, complex cognition, and executive function). The CNB-HK was administered to 636 normal-IQ children with ASD (mean age: 8.4 years, 87.1% male) and 412 children without ASD (mean age: 8.6 years, 55.1% male). Factor structure was examined using factor analyses.
Results:
The CNB-HK had high feasibility for children with ASD, with <7% invalid data across all tasks. The original four-factor and bi-factor structures were replicated with good model fit, and partial scalar invariance was achieved between children with and without ASD. The factor scores correlated positively with estimated IQ in the ASD group. The ASD group had worse performance across all four cognitive domains and the g factor compared to the group without ASD.
Conclusions:
The CNB-HK is a valid, multi-domain cognitive assessment tool for children with ASD in Hong Kong, offering a feasible and reliable approach for research and clinical settings.
The notions of “emergence” and “becoming” have become widely adopted in relational studies in archaeology, but their definition and application remain nebulous. We advocate a middle-range approach to the incorporation of these related concepts into the study of migration and pronounced cultural shifts. Our study relies on the Bayesian modeling of a significant corpus of radiocarbon dates from Mississippian sites in the Tombigbee Valley of southeastern North America. This investigation has identified the likelihood of two broad migration episodes that we hypothesize are related to cultural rephrasings of landscape and temporality.
This study explores how loneliness affects earthquake risk perception and preparedness behaviors among older adults in Japan. Aging is often accompanied by increased vulnerability to natural disasters, and loneliness is hypothesized to compromise effective preparedness. Using the Japanese Older Adult Preparedness Model (JOAPM), which integrates the Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) and cultural context, we examine how loneliness influences both perceived earthquake risk and protective behaviors.
Methods
An online survey conducted in April 2024 gathered responses from adults aged 55 and older across 4 earthquake-prone Japanese prefectures. Measures included demographics, disaster experience, loneliness (UCLA Loneliness Scale), risk perception, and preparedness actions such as household adjustments. Regression and mediation analyses assessed the direct and indirect effects of loneliness on preparedness.
Results
Findings show that loneliness has a significant negative direct effect on disaster preparedness. However, it also slightly increases risk perception, which in turn has a positive relationship with preparedness behaviors, suggesting a modest indirect pathway. Overall, the direct negative effect of loneliness outweighs the indirect benefit.
Conclusion
The results highlight the complex role of psychosocial factors in disaster readiness, suggesting that interventions should address information dissemination, self-efficacy, and the emotional isolation experienced by older adults in high-risk areas.
The prevalence of mental ill health is increasing in young people worldwide, with rising referrals to child and adolescent mental health services (CAMHS). The numbers and proportions of the youth population who present to CAMHS, however, including how those figures are changing over time, are unclear. Understanding trends in mental health service contacts for young people over time is crucial mental health surveillance data.
Aims
Our aim was to calculate both the lifetime and annual prevalence of CAMHS contact in Wales for young people up to age 18 years.
Method
Using linked Welsh administrative healthcare records, we calculated the annual prevalence of CAMHS contacts between 2004 and 2023. We also calculated the lifetime prevalence of CAMHS contacts for sequential annual birth cohorts born between 1991 and 2005 and followed to age 18 (between 2009 and 2023).
Results
In 2004, 0.8% (n = 4665) of the total child and adolescent population were in contact with CAMHS. By 2022, this had risen nearly five-fold to 3.9% (n = 19 870) of the total child and adolescent population. Among the 1991 birth cohort who turned 18 in 2009, 5.8% had contact with CAMHS at some stage in childhood or adolescence. For individuals born in 2005 who turned 18 in 2023, this figure had risen to 20.2%.
Conclusions
The number of the young people in contact with CAMHS has increased dramatically over the past 15 years, from 1 in 17 young people who turned 18 in 2009 to 1 in 5 young people who turned 18 in 2023.
While the effects of multidisciplinary weight loss (WL) on resting energy expenditure remain unclear in adolescents with obesity, the potential presence of adaptive thermogenesis (AT) has never been explored, which was the objective of the present work. Twenty-six adolescents (14·1 (sd 1·5) years) with severe obesity completed a 9-month inpatient multidisciplinary intervention followed by a 4-month follow-up. Anthropometric measurements, body composition (dual X-ray absorptiometry) and resting energy expenditure (REE, indirect calorimetry) were assessed before (T0) and after 9 months of WL intervention (T1) and after a 4-month follow-up (T2). AT, at the level of REE, was defined as a significantly lower measured v. predicted (using regression models with baseline data) REE. Two pre-cited REE equations were used, using both fat mass and fat-free mass (FFM) (predicted REE using equation 1) or FFM only (predicted REE using equation 2). Measured and predicted REE significantly decreased between T0 and T1 (P < 0·001) and remained lower at T2 compared with T0 (measured REE: P = 0·017; predicted REE: P < 0·001). Predicted REE using equation 2 was significantly higher than measured REE at T1 (P = 0·012), suggesting the presence of AT. FFM at T0 was negatively correlated with ATp1T1 (Rho = –0·428; P = 0·033) and ATp2T1 (Rho = –0·485; P = 0·014). The variation of FFM between T0 and T1 was negatively correlated with AT at T1 and T2. These preliminary results suggest the existence of AT in response to WL in adolescents with obesity, independently of the degree of WL. AT was associated with subsequent body weight and fat regain, suggesting AT may represent a damper to WL attempts while increasing the adolescents’ risks for subsequent weight and adiposity rebounds.
Salmonella enterica serovar Dublin is host-specific to cattle, causing severe symptoms and economically impacting milk herds. Despite an eradication programme in Denmark, levels of infection have not decreased and suspicion has fallen on the common starling Sturnus vulgaris as a potential vector between herds. The number of breeding starlings in Denmark declined by 60% between 1976 and 2015, a trend correlated with decreases in the number of cattle grazing outside. Ironically, more starlings are now coming into Danish cattle sheds to feed on maize silage outside the breeding season, so it is increasingly important to understand the role of starlings in dispersing Salmonella between cattle herds. We caught and tested 394 different starlings at seven separate dairy farms infected with Salmonella Dublin by swabbing breast feathers, legs, feet and undertail coverts as well as taking faecal samples at these and four other infected farms. We found no trace of the pathogen, indicating that starlings are highly unlikely to be significant in spreading Salmonella Dublin between Danish cattle herds. We recommend investigating alternative contacts that may occur between herds as the cause of disease spread.