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At the beginning of the government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, in 2003, a young television journalist asked me: “Minister, why do you pay so much attention to South America?” The question reflected both the diplomatic effort developed in the region and a worldview that prioritized the large, developed countries. My answer was simple: “Because I live here.” The same goes for our priority for the countries of the south.
Except for Latin America, the Global South only appeared on the radar of Brazilian diplomacy in the early 1960s, fueled by the independence of African nations. Before that, the rise of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) was something that Brazil followed at a distance with little or no participation. Our interests and relationships were centered in the Western, European, and North American developed world. Even in our region, our vision went little beyond the countries with which we border. Chile and Mexico attracted the attention of some academics but were not the focus of major diplomatic initiatives. Starting in the 1950s, in part due to studies carried out by the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), a specific Latin American outlook began to take shape, which was expressed in the initiative of President Juscelino Kubitchek’s Pan-American Operation in 1958.
Some embassies were opened in Africa, something that would continue in the governments of Janio Quadros and João Goulart. Writings about an “independent foreign policy,” as conceptualized by Santiago Dantas, would project our external view to what today would be called the Global South. The movement for the liberation of the Portuguese colonies, beginning in 1961, would attract intellectuals, politicians, and international officials. The 1964 military coup would curb that Third World momentum—but not entirely.
If we think about Brazil’s foreign policy in the last half-century, which includes almost half the period of the military dictatorship (1964–1985) the Global South, with or without that name, has always occupied a prominent place.
For more than four decades, the Cold War imposed on the world a binary logic marked by the confrontation of the West with the Soviet bloc. Attempts to break this geopolitical logic failed to be dented by the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) or by the emergence of the Third World, later renamed as the Global South. After the implosion of the United Socialist Soviet Republic (USSR) and the end of the Cold War, the configuration of a unipolar world under the hegemonic dominance of the United States and its Western allies imposed a liberal international order and the apparent end of geopolitical confrontations on a global scale.
However, the world is currently experiencing a series of tectonic changes that mark the emergence of a new world order and, consequently, rising geopolitical tensions. In fact, we live in a world in transition, in which the dilution of traditional power relations is associated both with the emergence of new poles of power and new ways of concep-tualizing the complex links between economic, technological, political, and military power. New visions about regional orders and the global order emerge and compete, and a new world geopolitical map is emerging. Multiple narratives emerge to interpret this transition—generally anchored in national interests or regional approaches—that compete to legitimize interests and strategies of the states not only in regions but also within the global order.
While the international economy presents a fragile global outlook in which developed economies are recovering more slowly than expected and global trade has slowed down, it is clear that, since the 2008 crisis, the main developed countries of the Atlantic Basin—the European Union (EU) and the United States—have had limited growth, while emerging economies including China and India have had higher economic growth, even in the context of the global pandemic. In the last decade, the economic dynamism in the world has tended to move from the Atlantic Basin to the Asia-Pacific, driven by the accelerated growth of China, which will become the world’s leading economy by the end of the current decade according to most projections.
After several centuries of Western hegemony, reflected in its ability to formulate international norms and rules and control the global agenda, we now witness the emergence of new powers and a multipolar world.
The IV Conference of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) ended in Algiers on Sunday, September 9, 1973. Scheduled to conclude a day earlier, it had to be extended so that the numerous heads of state and government and foreign affairs ministers in attendance could deliver their speeches. A total of 75 of the 135 member states represented at the United Nations (UN) were present at the highest level, including the pioneers of Bandung, the founders of the Group in Belgrade, and the rulers of most of the recently decolonized countries. There was a significant presence from the Arab world and from Asia and Africa and two Latin American countries—Chile and Peru—joined Cuba, a NAM founding member. Several of the newly independent Caribbean countries like Guyana and Jamaica were also participating in their first summit.
The NAM had gone from being just a small group of countries that rejected the Cold War and bloc politics to embodying the most representative entity of the so-called Third World—also associated with the great issues of the fight against colonialism, neocolonialism, racism, and apartheid. With a close link with the Group of 77 (G77)—created at the first United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) in 1964—the NAM would also acquire an economic dimension that would be enshrined for the first time in the Final Declaration of Algiers.
There was, however, an important absence: the announced participation of the president of Chile Salvador Allende, a milestone that would mark a much more determined presence of Latin America in the NAM, was canceled shortly before the beginning of the summit. Chile had, however, an important presence, with a large delegation headed by Foreign Minister Clodomiro Almeyda. The coup d’état that caused the death of President Allende and the end of democracy in Chile occurred just two days after the end of the Algiers Summit. Chile had joined the NAM in September 1971, and two years later that participation was terminated. The movement—which had issued a declaration in support of the Allende government at the summit—would later reject the attempts of the Pinochet dictatorship to join it.
The world that emerged after World War II had a large part of what is now the Global South in colonial condition. Suffice it to say that the United Nations (UN) was created by convening in January 1942 a conference of 26 nations to reaffirm the commitment to fight against the Axis (Germany, Italy, and Japan) until the very end.
The allied countries (the United States, the Soviet Union [Union of Soviet Socialist Republics; USSR], the United Kingdom, and China) met from August to October in 1944 in Dumbarton Oaks to prepare the statutes and the design of the future UN. The organization was born at the San Francisco Conference in 1945, with 50 participating countries, which approved the Charter of the UN. The organization formally came into being on October 24, 1945, after France, the United States, the United Kingdom, the Soviet Union, and China ratified the treaty. Only the victors of World War II were founding members. And the Big Five retained veto power, as so-called super victors. Asia had only two participating countries—China and India, which would actually win their independence on August 15, 1947—and Africa had two as well—South Africa and Ethiopia. On the other hand, Latin America had 19 countries among the founding members, allies of the United States and considered winners of the war.
Latin America gained its independence at the beginning of the nineteenth century. But almost all of Africa and Asia had been left out of the creation of the UN. The colonies had formed military units for the armies of the motherlands, whose men, after the conflict, were once again second-class citizens. In the colonies, all positions of power in the economy, in education, in health, and in administration were occupied by white men who came from the colonial powers.
But a new feeling was emerging among the national elites, many of whom had had access to higher education, often in the metropolis: a growing sense of dignity, frustration, and injustice. Colonialism did not invest in education, especially in higher education. When Libya obtained independence from Italy, the total number of people with university studies was 28 men and no women.
On the afternoon of the 11th September 1973, national armed forces bombed the Chilean Presidential Palace, La Moneda, dissolved Congress and installed a military Junta headed by General Augusto Pinochet. This was the start of the Chilean military dictatorship that would last for 17 years, overseeing more than 3,000 deaths, 40,000 cases of torture and 200,000 cases of exile.
Compared to Brazil and Uruguay, which had installed its own military regime in an autocoup just a few months earlier, the military takeover in Chile almost immediately incited international outrage. Front-page news articles across Western Europe described the scene in which air and ground attacks destroyed parts of the presidential palace, where President Salvador Allende was reported to have committed suicide. At a most basic level, the comparatively weak reactions to the Brazilian and Uruguayan coups can be explained by the fact that they were carried out with comparatively less violence. In Brazil, the political opposition was initially repressed through the suspension of political rights and forced exile, with torture not being systematically employed until a few years later. In Uruguay, it was the democratically elected president at the time, Juan Bordaberry, who personally and willingly signed the decree to dissolve Congress.
Chile was important for another reason. Salvador Allende, president of the Republic of Chile, had proven the possibility of the ‘democratic road to socialism’. He had gathered significant international support from Western European countries with active Socialist and Communist parties, such as France and Italy, and had inspired Leftist movements and currents across the continent. The fall of the democratic regime and Allende’s subsequent death almost immediately drew mass national and international campaigns and protests of solidarity that cut across classes, including unions, politicians, Christian groups, artists and academics.
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to the reconfiguration of global geopolitics. It accelerated and sharpened pre-existing trends (Acharya 2020; Haass 2020a; Rodrik 2020). In so doing, the pandemic has highlighted something even more challenging than the virus itself, namely, the global competition between the United States and China (Actis and Creus, 2020a).
The current international order is in transition, marked by a pandemic outbreak with highly disruptive effects, within the setting of a structural process of a global dispute between the two main international powers. The scope and magnitude of the impact of both processes pose a huge challenge for the rest of the actors in the system, be they states, companies, or international organizations.
Latin America was affected by this like no other region in the world (Nugent and Campell 2021). The pandemic undermined the region’s power capabilities and starkly exposed its weaknesses. At the same time, the increase in tensions between the United States and China exacerbated strategic dilemmas and revealed the need for Latin American countries to redefine and rethink their place in the new order. This chapter analyzes the impact on Latin America of this global power dispute.
The first section discusses the nature of the international order in the making from the perspective of entropic bipolarism. The second section reflects on the place of Latin America in this dynamic, a place marked, perhaps paradoxically, by a condition of both structural weakness and potential strategic relevance, resulting from a renewed interest in the region on the part of the great powers. The third section highlights the need for a sub-systemic approach since the challenges are not uniform and differ throughout the region. South America is identified as the most problematic area and the focus is placed there. Finally, and as a conclusion, some normative issues are addressed, and the strategic options available for the countries of the subregion are discussed according to possible scenarios, placing special emphasis on the gap between what is desirable and what is possible.
The Era of “Entropic Bipolarism”
In 2014, Randall Schweller pointed out that in geopolitical terms the world was leaving behind the “era of order” to give way to the “era of entropy” (Schweller 2014).
It is a widespread assertion in sociology and social theory that systems theory is uncritical. This belief is articulated by theories that call upon society to change (itself, its structure, its inner logics). We want to argue that these assertions conceal the critical potentials which are inherent in Luhmann’s social systems theory. Admittedly, Luhmann was critical about critical theory and embarked on a controversy with Jürgen Habermas and others about the state of critical theory in the 1960s and 1970s. His point of departure was that critical theory was still indebted to ‘old-European assumptions’ about how societies are evolving. He sought to demonstrate that critical theory reproduced distinctions – such as between the ‘part’ and the ‘whole’ or ‘below’ and ‘above’ – which were already melting under an increased functional differentiation of social systems in modern society. Drawing upon Talcott Parson’s sociology and evolution theory, he argued that modern society emerged from a rather anarchic social evolution and, thereby, established a plurality of self-referential social systems that are not reducible to a unitary mode of domination. Based on these insights, Luhmann formulates a critique of society which may be deemed less appealing, less self-assured and void of gestures that support a sociologist’s self-image of an impressive public intellectual, but – as we argue in the following – it takes up motifs of social critique in the tradition of Hegel, Marx and Adorno and classical sociology such as Simmel and Weber. Not the least, a whole strand of critical systems theory from the 2000s onwards investigated into this potential of Luhmann’s theory – be it through clarifying the notion of critique in his work, through combining it with Marxism, post-structural thinking or the legacy of the early Frankfurt School – arguing that modern society calls for different forms of sociological critique.
In this chapter, we focus on a reconstruction of three characteristic dimensions of critical systems theory in order to demonstrate how these resources can contribute to a critique of modern society that operates immanently from within the social. Most importantly, we emphasise how social critique remains connected to a robust social theory instead of collapsing into a free-standing gesture.
In 1968, when I worked as a court clerk and was writing my dissertation, I suffered from acute symptoms of horror vacui. My somewhat naïve hopes in the rationality of legal arguments, but also in the potential of the social sciences to enlighten them, had been disillusioned. I had worked my way through the relevant literature on law and the social sciences, but, of course, without finding a solution to my problem. I doubted the scientific quality of legal scholarship, equated legal doctrine with absurd conceptual acrobatics, and found in legal sociology nothing but irrelevant fact-gathering or artificial theory exercises. In those days, the critique of law as an instrument of brute power was en vogue and I agreed wholeheartedly. My own experience in the courts contradicted what I had learned in law school about the inner persuasiveness of law when it came to solving social conflicts. I realised that in day-to-day practice, legal arguments would neither determine judicial decisions, nor produce plausible reasons for the parties concerned, nor satisfactorily resolve social conflicts. Likewise, as a doctoral student, I had to learn that legal arguments are neither participating in an interdisciplinary debate nor realising social values, not to speak of producing discursive rationality.
Suddenly a new tone! Norms in sociological perspective– a short but brilliant article by a still unknown Niklas Luhmann which radicalised the usual critique of law in a cool and distant language. He showed that legal methods of attribution are untenable in scientific terms. So far, so not astonishing. But what impressed me was that starting with this critique of law, Luhmann developed sociological arguments for legal autonomy which he later transformed into a whole theory of law’s autopoietic self-production. When social or moral conflicts seem to be unresolvable, the law still finds an additional perspective that makes these conflicts resolvable and thus endurable in social life. The argument contradicted the Zeitgeist of these days. Law is not supposed to mirror social communities’ shared understanding of conflicts – but the opposite, to alienate drastically social conflicts is law’s well-founded stubbornness.
Latin America is going through a rough patch: recession, increased poverty and inequality, bankruptcy of thousands of companies, crisis of political representation, and growing international marginalization are the most distinctive features of the region today.
The crisis is global. What is in question is the multi-dependency that goes to the heart of the sort of globalization that has taken place in recent decades, as well as the financial insecurity and ecological irresponsibility that go hand in hand with it (Boyer 2020). In this sense, the comparison with the Great Depression of 1929 is not very relevant. The causes of that crisis were rooted in the mismatch between widespread mass production and the absence of mass consumption. It is to Keynes’ credit to have identified this contradiction and proposed solutions to overcome it. The current crisis, caused by a coronavirus (COVID-19) whose origins and possible mutations are unknown, generates a much more radical uncertainty. There are currently no theoretical schemes capable of accounting for the complexity of the current crisis and its possible solutions.
This uncertainty is serious in the case of Latin America, which has turned out to be the worst hit region. With 8 percent of the world’s population, it accounted for 20 percent of infections and 30 percent of deaths caused by the pandemic by the end of 2021. Latin America is the region that has suffered most intensely the rigors of the pandemic, and its epicenter has been in Brazil.
In the economic sphere, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) (ECLAC 2020) has estimated that the fall in the regional gross domestic product (GDP) reached 7.7 percent, the highest in 120 years. In contrast, the world economy, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) (IMF 2021) by 3.3 percent in 2020. Latin America’s performance also compares negatively with that of the Middle East and Central Asia (−4.1 percent), Sub-Saharan Africa (−3.9 percent), and Emerging and Developing Asia (1.7 percent). The macroeconomic figures, however, do not fully describe the depth of a crisis that, together with the loss of more than 1.7 million human lives, has brought with it the collapse of thousands of small- and medium-sized companies and enterprises.
The Active Non-Alignment (ANA) proposal is seductive. Indeed, today Latin America carries less weight than before on the world stage—both economically and politically—and at the same time United States–China tensions are increasing. Being passive in the international arena is not an attractive option, and neither is, in Latin America at least, siding openly with Washington or for Beijing. The thesis of an ANA, then, at least has the advantage of responding to these two concerns that many Latin American analysts have detected for some years.
However, the ANA also has some challenges and they are not easy to overcome. To give this innovative proposal the credit it deserves, it is imperative to identify those challenges and find a way, if possible, to overcome them. I see three initial challenges.
The first is the geopolitical and economic division of Latin America into two distinct spheres, largely determined by the relationship with the United States and with China of the countries in the region. The second is about the difficulty of being symmetrical in the approach and criticism of both superpowers. They are not the same. Third, for Latin America to develop a non-aligned and active international position, it would have to embrace causes that for many countries are still alien or that for many leaders in Latin America today are even anathema.
The division into two subregions occurs mainly through the way countries are linked to the global economy. However, for historical and geographical reasons this division also overlaps others. On the one hand, there is what we could call, following a North American tradition of the 1980s, the Caribbean Basin: Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean islands, and perhaps Colombia and Venezuela, although they rather belong to South America. The countries of the Caribbean Basin, in the first place, have been much more closely related to the United States than the countries of South America. Its main linkage to the world economy is with the United States through the export of manufactures, services—tourism and migration—and other illicit sales such as drugs.
A common thread through this book is that of an international system in transformation. It comprises a declining hegemonic power, new actors, and new configurations of alliances and rivalries, as well as new agendas and challenges.
The more precise characterization of this system elicits a variety of responses among the authors. Some suggest that we are in a multiplex world in the sense of Acharya: “defined by not having a single line of control, nor a meta-narrative about the global order” (Tussie), a “multi-theater cinema”(Heine), “a world without hegemon, culturally and politically diverse, although economically connected, whose security challenges are increasingly transnational, but in which the power to break and build order is dispersed and fragmented” (Roncagliolo and Campodónico). For others, there is an “entropic bipolarism” in which “to the increasingly disorderly and chaotic ‘diffusion of power,’ we must add a ‘transition of power,’ in which a rising power threatens the primacy of an established power” (Actis and Creus) or that of a situation of growing multipolarity—“or more precisely of bipolarity-multipolarity in the global systemic structure” (Armijo).
Yet, there seems to be a coincidence that, in the words of Serbin
we live in a world in transition, in which the dilution of traditional power relations is associated both with the emergence of new poles of power and with new modalities of conceptualization of the complex links between economic, technological, political and military power. Consequently, new visions about regional and global orders emerge and compete, and a new world geopolitical map is emerging.
Here, Serbin indicates the complexity of the new world by drawing attention to an emerging actor, Eurasia. This overlaps with the analysis of Stuenkel, who proposes the notion of a “Post-Western World” in the making, in which the conventional wisdom about the established international relations patterns in the last centuries is questioned.
It is in this scenario of uncertainty that the ANA proposal arises as a foreign policy doctrine based on certain key principles and not simply contingent interests. The ANA option should not be confused with a certain type of pragmatism that invariably ends in opportunism, doing nothing but eroding the credibility and standing of those who apply it.
Niklas Luhmann never claimed to be an expert on the arts. However, the German sociologist offers a highly instructive, comprehensive and theoretically consistent perspective on art in its various dimensions. Luhmann draws on extensive empirical and theoretical insights in order to develop a substantive theory that applies to different branches of art, including visual art, music, poetry and literature, performing arts, and their various subgenres. This approach is deeply embedded both in his general theory of social systems and his theory of society and its evolution. His definitive account on art, Art as a Social System, published three years before his death, applies to art major innovations in both of these theoretical fields, intertwining a structural description of the art system with an analysis of its evolution and differentiation as a function system in modern society. In particular, Luhmann sheds new light on core topics in the sociology of arts which include the production, reception and mediation of artworks.
Luhmann’s sociological interest in the roots of art poses a seemingly simple question: How is art possible? He rejects both ontological and normative concepts in answering this question. His interest does not lie in improving existing constellations, or realising hidden potentials. Rather, he insists that asking how art is possible requires that a society has already generatedwhat sociologists identify as art. Luhmann’s method investigates how social processes and structures have shaped what we know as art, assuming, however, that everything is contingent, and developments improbable. Potentially, art (as we know it) could be something totally different, or not existing at all. Starting with such an artificial irritation of supposed givens, sociologists need to understand how art has emerged in society. Rejecting teleological and deterministic concepts, Luhmann furthermore explains why developments have taken place that led to the evolution of an art system in society. Based on functional analysis, art in its various dimensions is assumed to be a solution (among a virtual multiplicity of functional equivalents) in relation to a problem located in society. This general research strategy leads to Luhmann’s comprehensive theory of art, in which art in form of artworks is analysed as a specific mode of communication.