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A document that nearly all countries are parties to is called the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This document was signed at the Earth Summit, a famous international event held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 1992. The UNFCCC’s objective is “stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic [i.e., human-caused] interference with the climate system.” There have been many meetings called Conference of the Parties meetings, or COP meetings. Each COP meeting attracts thousands of attendees and lasts about 12 days. COP 13 was held in Bali, Indonesia, in December 2007. I was there. Two months earlier, the world had learned that the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize was to be awarded equally between Al Gore, the American politician, and the IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The outcome of the Bali meeting was deeply disappointing, but not surprising. Governments and businesses worldwide, and ultimately, humankind as a whole, will determine what actions will be taken. Climate science, however, is able to provide highly useful input to this policymaking process.
In the preceding chapters, I examined four liabilities in the standard reading of Kant. As commentators continue to green the philosophical canon with figures as diverse as Confucius, Plato, Leibniz, Spinoza, Goethe, Heidegger, Nietzsche, Marx, Arendt, and Habermas, so also has it become apparent that a greener Kant is now possible. A greener Kant is also valuable, especially for rethinking the challenges of climate change. In Chapters 1 and 2, I showed why these liabilities and their attribution to Kant make sense: When Kant’s philosophy is limited to very specific texts from a single period in Kant’s intellectual career – the Groundwork, Critique of Pure Reason, and Critique of Practical Reason – red flags abound. And while I argued that strict Kant commentators such as Guyer, O’Neill, and Varden do a formidable job defending Kant in his letter, they fail in bringing his philosophy up to speed with issues regarding the climate crisis. Interpreters of Kant in spirit also do an admirable job.
Many of us have an Uncle Pete, for whom the climate change issue is not a science topic at all. It is just one more way for the authority of the state to control the lives of citizens. This view has nothing to do with science, and no argument based only on science can change it. For Uncle Pete, attacking climate science and scientists is simply a disguise for what really concerns him, a government that in Pete’s view seizes power, limits freedoms, increases taxes, regulates markets, and diminishes prosperity. As a climate scientist, I can say something with very high confidence about what will happen if we do nothing, which is Pete’s preferred policy. Vast numbers of people will become environmental refugees, and we will see the destabilization of governments, especially in failed and failing states. In wealthy and powerful countries, such as the United States, governments coping with severe climate change will surely have to act forcefully, including using emergency powers, as in wartime, to preserve order and to minimize chaos and damage. Doing nothing is likely to force governments to do exactly what Uncle Pete fears most: seize power and limit freedoms.
An important aspect of the climate change challenge is simply that too many people rarely or never talk about it. Any issue that we refuse to talk about can quickly become one that we will do nothing about. We also know that discussing a problem can often help in solving it. Preparing well is the first step to understanding climate change well and then communicating this knowledge well. My colleague Susan Joy Hassol and I have this guiding philosophy that underlies our approach to climate science communication: Use simple clear messages, repeated often, by a variety of trusted messengers. Trusted messengers can have an enormous impact and can motivate people to bring about change. Think of Mahatma Gandhi, or Nelson Mandela, or Martin Luther King Jr. Become something of an expert yourself first, at least in certain areas of climate change science, and only then try to communicate what you have learned.
There are many parallels between climate change and medical topics. Some can be useful in educating people and politicians. It is frustratingly difficult to get people and their governments motivated to act to avert climate change. Yet people are intensely interested in threats to their own health. Many Americans have improved their health by making major changes that are directly attributable to the results of medical science. Real progress has been made in making Americans, and their government, more aware of unhealthy behavior. Medical science has achieved a measure of pervasive respect that climate science can only envy. Journalists covering a medical discovery do not mistrust researchers or insist on hearing from “the opposing view.” When reporting on research showing the need for Americans to eat more sensibly and be physically active, the media does not treat these advances in medical science in terms of a dispute. Journalists do not feel obliged to seek out medical contrarians “for balance.” Medical metaphors and parallels between the two fields (such as “prevention is better than cure”) can thus be powerful aids to communicating.
My family and I decided to replace the furnace in our house, one that burned natural gas, with an electric heat pump system. We also installed a solar photovoltaic system including an array of solar modules or panels on our roof. In that way, we could generate most of the electricity used by our house from renewable solar energy. Weaning the entire world from fossil fuels, however, is a staggeringly complex and difficult task. Imagining a better world for tomorrow is relatively easy. Getting to that better world, starting from the existing world of today, is not easy at all. Vaclav Smil, in his 2022 book How the World Really Works: A Scientist’s Guide to Our Past, Present and Future, makes the case that this task will require immense changes in many areas where fossil fuels are now vital to the production of massive amounts of materials indispensable to modern civilization. Smil calls ammonia, steel, concrete, and plastics, “the four pillars of modern civilization.” All four pillars require very large amounts of fossil fuels to produce. Smil estimates that completing the transition of weaning the world from fossil fuels will likely take several decades or even longer.
Chapter 1 motivates a Kantian analysis of climate change by examining early criticisms against Kant in the field of animal ethics. If Kant’s philosophy is ill-suited for justifying concern for nonhuman animals, its suitability for broader environmental issues remains unclear. After evaluating passages from Kant’s critical texts that motivate these criticisms, I assess a classic set of objections to the standard reading of Kant’s theory from Christina Hoff. After analyzing attempts by contemporary Kant scholars to respond to her challenge, I conclude with the merits of the standard reading of Kantian ethics for the sixth mass extinction debate.
A contemporary and innovative feature of post-mining land use (‘PMLU’) planning is the repurposing of sites such as mine-voids to alternative purposes such as pumped hydro, irrigated agriculture, renewable energy, or recreation and tourism. Repurposing can facilitate the transition of the region’s economy post-mining and contribute to rehabilitation for sites that cannot be returned to the pre-mining land use. A key issue inhibiting a third-party engaging in repurposing projects is the underlying tenure and the attached liability for residual and unforeseen risks. This article scopes out the tenure issue and considers whether introducing a new form of tenure in Western Australia could facilitate PMLU transitions and mitigate the frequent problem of sites languishing under care and maintenance.
Mammalian species richness is commonly highest at mid- to high elevations, but the accumulation of sediment that might bury and preserve skeletal remains generally occurs at lower elevations, leading to concerns that fossil assemblages are biased toward low-elevation taxa. Here, I use extant mammals as an analogue to test the basin-scale spatial overlap between species ranges and sediment sinks where burial and fossilization would be possible. Sediment sinks are estimated within five topographically complex regions in western North America by identifying areas with both a low slope and a high contributing area of runoff and are compared with point occurrences of mammals compiled from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF). I find that, among the test areas, 82–96% of all species have occurrences that overlap with a sediment sink, despite common offsets in the elevations of maximum sink area and maximum species richness: summed across all test areas, 83% of species and 87% of total sediment sink area are found in the lowest 1000 m of the test areas. Although many other factors can act against the fossilization of terrestrial mammals, these results indicate that the spatial distribution of mammal species with respect to sediment sinks should not in itself impose a major bias at the basin scale.
The conventional $\textrm{e}^N$ laminar-to-turbulent transition-prediction method focuses on the relative growth rate, called the $N$ factor, and neglects receptivity. To improve predictions, Mack (1977) proposed the amplitude method to incorporate receptivity, nonlinear effects and broadband characteristics. Currently, the lack of accurate receptivity coefficients, estimates of initial disturbance amplitudes at the lower-branch neutral position, referred to as branch I (where the imaginary part of the spatial wavenumber is zero), hinders the application of the amplitude method. Although experimental- and numerical-receptivity analyses have been conducted previously, they rely on correlations or indirect approaches. For the purpose of direct evaluation, this study applies bi-orthogonal decomposition to direct numerical simulation (DNS) data of a hypersonic boundary layer over a blunt cone, extracting initial amplitudes of instability modes. The decomposition framework incorporates both boundary-layer and entropy-layer modes, enabling direct evaluation of receptivity coefficients at branch I. The decomposed modal amplitudes show reduced multimode interference and the receptivity coefficients have been computed to have fewer oscillations. With an overall greater magnitude, the receptivity coefficients suggest a possible earlier transition location than the previous numerical study by He & Zhong (2023 J. Spacecr. Rockets, vol. 60, no. 6, pp. 1927–1938). Additionally, a discrete entropy-layer mode is recovered, contributing to instability development alongside modes F and S. These findings support the use of bi-orthogonal decomposition as a practical tool for receptivity analysis and enhancement of the amplitude method in transition prediction.