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5 - Nationalism and the Puzzle of Reversing State Size*

from Part II - Nationalism and the Transformation of the State

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 November 2025

Lars-Erik Cederman
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Luc Girardin
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Carl Müller-Crepon
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
Yannick I. Pengl
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
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Summary

Chapter 5 addresses the puzzle of reversing state size, which is inconsistent with a Tillyan account of European history. We argue that border-change processes triggered by ethnic nationalism are the main drivers of this development. While unification nationalism increased states’ size in the nineteenth century, its effects were dominated by secessionism, which shrinks states. Irredentism, in turn, had no effect on average state size. Focusing on deviations from the nation-state ideal, we postulate that internal ethnic fragmentation leads to secession and reductions in state sizes and that the cross-border presence of dominant ethnic groups makes state expansion through unification or irredentism more likely. Conducted at the systemic and state levels in Europe and globally, our analysis exploits information at the interstate dyadic level to capture these border-change processes. We find that while nationalism exerts both integrating and disintegrating effects on states’ territories, it is the latter effect that has dominated since the twentieth century.

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Type
Chapter
Information
Nationalism and the Transformation of the State
Border Change and Political Violence in the Modern World
, pp. 108 - 137
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2025
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This content is Open Access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/cclicenses/

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