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Chapter 3 analyzes the contribution of three prominent historians of science in the mid twentieth century who shaped the modern historiography of the ancient astronomical sciences. Its objective is to expose fundamental philosophical and historiographical underpinnings to the writing of the history of science in antiquity.
This innovative work delves into the world of ordinary early modern women and men and their relationship with credit and debt. Elise Dermineur focuses on the rural seigneuries of Delle and Florimont in the south of Alsace, where rich archival documents allow for a fine cross-analysis of credit transactions and the reconstruction of credit networks from c.1650 to 1790. She examines the various credit instruments at ordinary people's disposal, the role of women in credit markets, and the social, legal, and economic experiences of indebtedness. The book's distinctive focus on peer-to-peer lending sheds light on how and why pre-industrial interpersonal exchanges featured flexibility, diversity, fairness, solidarity and reciprocity, and room for negotiation and renegotiation. Before Banks also offers insight into factors informing our present financial system and suggests that we can learn from the past to create a fairer society and economy.
This study introduces an innovative methodology for mortality forecasting, which integrates signature-based methods within the functional data framework of the Hyndman–Ullah (HU) model. This new approach, termed the Hyndman–Ullah with truncated signatures (HUts) model, aims to enhance the accuracy and robustness of mortality predictions. By utilizing signature regression, the HUts model is able to capture complex, nonlinear dependencies in mortality data which enhances forecasting accuracy across various demographic conditions. The model is applied to mortality data from 12 countries, comparing its forecasting performance against variants of the HU models across multiple forecast horizons. Our findings indicate that overall the HUts model not only provides more precise point forecasts but also shows robustness against data irregularities, such as those observed in countries with historical outliers. The integration of signature-based methods enables the HUts model to capture complex patterns in mortality data, making it a powerful tool for actuaries and demographers. Prediction intervals are also constructed with bootstrapping methods.
My fieldwork uncovers the differing dynamics of the homeowner self-governance movement in three cities: In Shanghai, 94 percent of condominium communities have established homeowners’ associations (HoAs), compared with 41 percent in Shenzhen and only 12 percent in Beijing. In this chapter, I present a framework with two variables, the risk to social stability and state capacity, to explain the different styles of authoritarianism in the three cities, and examine the role of the local state in the development of HoAs.
Bernstein’s extrovert personality, ambitions and eclectic talent were perhaps best demonstrated in the theatrical medium, and this chapter explores the origins of Bernstein’s relationship with this medium, looking at the collaborations, contexts, and influences surrounding his first works for the New York stage: the ballet Fancy Free (1944) and the musicals On the Town (1944), Wonderful Town (1953) and Candide (1956). There is a particular focus on Bernstein’s employment of symphonic dance music, the rhythmic vitality contained within many numbers, and his inclusion of both ‘highbrow’ compositional techniques and ‘lowbrow’ sounds of jazz and popular culture within his scores. The author also considers how Bernstein’s music helped to vividly portray the locations and characters within the shows, and discusses the musical elements found in these early works that would later resurface in his contribution to West Side Story.
This chapter traces the ways in which Hume’s ‘Idea of a Perfect Commonwealth’ responds not only to Harrington’s Commonwealth of Oceana (1656) but also to Montesquieu’s Spirit of the Laws (1748). The large federal constitution that Hume proposed at the end of his Political Discourses turns out to have as much in common with Montesquieu’s understanding of modern monarchy as it does with Harrington’s vision for an equal republic. Indeed, there is reason to suspect that Montesquieu’s criticism of Oceana in his chapter ‘On the English Constitution’ prompted Hume to devise his alternative version of Harrington’s commonwealth. Hume adapted Oceana’s framework for uniform electoral districts and tiers of representation to the spirit of commerce and competition that he and Montesquieu associated with modern Britain. The result was a state with ‘all the advantages of both a great and little commonwealth’.
This chapter explains how working conditions and wages are jointly determined. Overall productivity limits total compensation but then how total compensation is split between monetary wages and other working conditions is largely driven by employee preferences. Safer and more pleasant working conditions are what economists call normal goods. When worker compensation goes up, workers demand greater safety and better conditions. Thus, the poor working conditions in sweatshops largely reflect the fact that these workers are desperately trying to feed, clothe, and shelter their families and prefer the bulk of their compensation in monetary wages. The chapter explains how legally mandating better conditions makes workers worse off by both unemploying some workers and changing the mix of compensation into a less desirable mix from the workers’ perspective. It illustrates this lesson with survey evidence from sweatshop workers in Guatemala.
Toward the end of the first millennium ad, a burgeoning class of secular elites emerged throughout western Europe who developed local power centres to denote their prestige. Seigneurial investment was prioritised towards residences, as well as churches and chapels, the two elements often paired into single places in the landscape. In England, our understanding of these complexes is limited due to scant excavated evidence and skewed by the impact of the Norman Conquest, after which castles became the dominant form of aristocratic site. Previous approaches have often fetishised defensibility and promoted notions of national exceptionalism, but a more meaningful understanding of these places can be gained by adopting a broad chronological and thematic remit. Drawing upon the results of the AHRC-funded research project ‘Where Power Lies’, this paper offers a foundational evaluation of the landscape evidence for lordly centres, presenting data on their distribution in two regions, complemented by results from intensive investigation of case study locations (Bosham, West Sussex and Hornby, North Yorkshire). This allows a wider range of material signatures from lordly centres to be characterised, resulting in greater comprehension of how elites in England shaped and experienced a Europe-wide phenomenon.
Currently, methods for mapping agricultural crops have been predominantly developed for a number of the most important and popular crops. These methods are often based on remote sensing data, scarce information about the location and boundaries of fields of a particular crop, and involve analyzing phenological changes throughout the growing season by utilizing vegetation indices, e.g., the normalized difference vegetation index. However, this approach encounters challenges when attempting to distinguish fields with different crops growing in the same area or crops that share similar phenology. This complicates the reliable identification of the target crops based solely on vegetation index patterns. This research paper aims to investigate the potential of advanced techniques for crop mapping using satellite data and qualitative information. These advanced approaches involve interpreting features in satellite images in conjunction with cartographic, statistical, and climate data. The study focuses on data collection and mapping of three specific crops: lavender, almond, and barley, and relies on various sources of information for crop detection, including satellite image characteristics, regional statistical data detailing crop areas, and phenological information, such as flowering dates and the end of the growing season in specific regions. As an example, the study attempts to visually identify lavender fields in Bulgaria and almond orchards in the USA. We test several state-of-the-art methods for semantic segmentation (U-Net, UNet++, ResUnet). The best result was achieved by a ResUnet model (96.4%). Furthermore, the paper explores how vegetation indices can be leveraged to enhance the precision of crop identification, showcasing their advanced capabilities for this task.
Chapter 5 looks at dealing with digital or electronic evidence in criminal investigations and the complications that presents from a legal perspective. It focuses on the aspect of admissibility of digital evidence at the European level. It presents the main characteristics that make digital evidence so critical for the law of evidence, along with the digital forensics standards and guidelines that describe how to collect such data, developed by the most authoritative bodies at the international and European levels. Against this reconstruction, it highlights the scarce European statutory bases currently referring to the admissibility of evidence and, given their limits, moves to explore the jurisprudence of the European Court of Human Rights and the Court of Justice. On such grounds, it supports the need for the EU to equip itself with common admissibility criteria in general, and with specific admissibility rules concerning forensic evidence (including digital data) in particular.
Bernstein wrote for the voice with a keen understanding of how drama becomes heightened through music. Since West Side Story broke the mould of traditional musical theatre, the vocal demands are equally non-traditional. By examining the vocal writing, one can understand Bernstein’s sense of character and how each musical number propels the story through song. This chapter begins by exploring the vocal writing in depth, specifically the roles of Maria, Tony, Anita, and Riff. The vocal lines reveal the need for specific vocal production, including classical, mix, and belt styles. The second part of the chapter analyses specific performances of those roles in the original Broadway cast recording, the 1984 recording conducted by Bernstein himself with opera singers, the 2009 bilingual Broadway revival, and briefly considers vocal performances from the 2021 film adaptation. The chapter further explores the artists’ stylistic vocal choices and their process for creating these sounds.