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Chapter 5 tackles what it calls the “travesty” of pretrial detention. In the past fifty years, an increased emphasis on detaining arrestees, not only for the traditional purpose of preventing flight but also to incapacitate those perceived to be dangerous, has led to a huge jump in jail populations. The result has been a mammoth increase in unnecessary confinements, disruption of families and jobs, and guilty pleas motivated solely by a desire for release. Some jurisdictions have attempted to mitigate these harmful effects by requiring the use of actuarial instruments to improve identification of those who are at risk of reoffending or failing to appear for trial. This chapter doubles down on that development, despite the controversies swirling around it. It proposes that under most circumstances, the results of well-validated risk assessment instruments should not only inform pretrial outcomes but dictate them, on the grounds that they are more likely to be accurate and less racially biased than risk assessments made by judges, as well as significantly more likely to lead to reduced pretrial detention rates if the “high risk” threshold is defined properly.
Statistically-derived algorithms, adopted by many jurisdictions in an effort to identify the risk of reoffending posed by criminal defendants, have been lambasted as racist, de-humanizing, and antithetical to the foundational tenets of criminal justice. Just Algorithms argues that these attacks are misguided and that, properly regulated, risk assessment tools can be a crucial means of safely and humanely dismantling our massive jail and prison complex. The book explains how risk algorithms work, the types of legal questions they should answer, and the criteria for judging whether they do so in a way that minimizes bias and respects human dignity. It also shows how risk assessment instruments can provide leverage for curtailing draconian prison sentences and the plea-bargaining system that produces them. The ultimate goal of Christopher Slobogin's insightful analysis is to develop the principles that should govern, in both the pretrial and sentencing settings, the criminal justice system's consideration of risk.
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