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The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted Saskatchewan, resulting in high per capita case counts and COVID-19-related deaths. While vaccination mandates have been a key strategy to control the pandemic, their impact in Saskatchewan remains poorly documented. This study assessed the effect of COVID-19 vaccine mandates on the incidence of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Saskatchewan during the first year following vaccine rollout.
Methods
A single-group interrupted time series analysis with multiple intervention points was conducted using aggregated daily COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates as outcome variables. The models accounted for confounding effects of daily total vaccine doses administered and public health countermeasures, including the stringency index and economic support index, from April 1, 2020 to January 20, 2022. Average daily COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates were estimated for the pre-vaccine rollout period (April 1 to December 14, 2020), and the post-rollout period (December 15, 2020 to January 20, 2022). In addition, nine supplementary initiatives were introduced during the implementation phase. All estimated effects reflected cumulative changes in trend relative to the pre-vaccination period.
Results
Cumulatively, COVID-19 incidence increased faster than the pre-vaccination trend, likely driven by successive variant surges from wild-type to Omicron, while COVID-19–related deaths remained stable across the same period. The implementation of vaccine rollout, prioritization of vaccines for high-risk populations, and proof-of-vaccination policy were effective in reducing daily COVID-19 incidence and deaths in Saskatchewan. Economic support and an increased number of daily vaccine doses administered were also associated with an improved provincial COVID-19 response. Conversely, surges in COVID-19 incidence and deaths occurred following the introduction of the centralized virtual booking system and booster doses. These surges may reflect accessibility challenges, increased testing, emergence of immune-escape variants, relaxation of public health measures before achieving herd immunity, and waning immunity over time.
Conclusions
Economic support, policy measures, and vaccination efforts played important roles in managing public health crises, hence the need for an integrated approach to managing public health crises. However, temporary surges following certain interventions underscore the need for accessible, adaptable strategies that account for variant emergence, immunity waning and public adherence.
Understanding how suicide rates vary across age, sex, and geography is essential to designing effective prevention strategies. We examined long-term trends in suicide mortality across European countries over three decades, with a focus on age-specific trajectories.
Methods
Using the WHO mortality database, we computed annual sex- and age-specific suicide rates (10–14 to 85+ age groups) from 1990 to 2022, for the most populous European countries, and aggregated rates for the EU-27 and four geographical areas (North, West, South, and Centre-East Europe). We also calculated percentage differences across four time periods (1990–1994, 2000–2004, 2010–2014, and 2020–2022), according to data availability.
Results
Suicide rates increased with age, peaking in older individuals (85+) in most countries (e.g., 82.0/100,000 in France in 2020–2022, 77.1/100,000 in Germany among males, in 2020), except in the UK and Northern Europe, where rates peaked at middle age (∼22/100,000 at 45–49, in 2020). EU-27 suicide rates in 2020 ranged from 5.5/100,000 (age 15–19) to 58.2/100,000 (85+) among males, and from 2.6 (15–19) to 8.6/100,000 (85+) among females. Male suicide rates were 3 to 8 times higher than female rates across all ages. While overall rates declined since 1990 in most countries, youth suicide increased after 2010 in Western (e.g., +12%, girls 15–19), Southern (+24.5%, girls 15–19), and Northern (+44%, girls 15–19 and 20–24) Europe. Rates among young and middle-aged adults recently rose in Spain, the UK, and Northern Europe, while they declined in Eastern Europe after the 1990s.
Conclusions
Despite overall declines, our findings highlight marked heterogeneity in sex- and age-specific trends in suicide mortality across Europe. These patterns call for age-tailored prevention strategies that address evolving psychosocial stressors and structural determinants across the lifespan.
Merchants and travelers sought food, lodging, entertainment, care, and other services in Nombre de Dios, Panama and Portobello, as well as at the inns punctuating the land and water routes between them. Sometimes accompanied by husbands and more often by slaves, enterprising women of diverse ancestry offered a range of services across the isthmus. In contrast to Seville or Malaga, Panama’s authorities, like those of New Spain, avoided regulating prostitution. Instead, they protested the unlicensed migration of unattached women from Castile and the sexual abuse of enslaved women. Sources described prostitution, like debt or enslavement, as a temporary misfortune.
Individuals with first-episode psychosis (FEP) face markedly increased excess mortality, yet the long-term trends and key contributing factors remain insufficiently characterized. This study aimed to examine long-term mortality patterns, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), and associated factors in a FEP cohort.
Methods
This population-based cohort study included 1,389 individuals diagnosed with FEP, followed for up to 25 years. Mortality outcomes were obtained from Hong Kong’s centralized hospital database (CMS) and coroner’s court reports, with SMRs calculated. Baseline sociodemographic and clinical, as well as long-term treatment-related factors of all-cause, natural, and unnatural mortality were analyzed.
Results
Among 1,389 participants, 137 deaths (9.86%) occurred during the follow-up period with the overall SMR of 6.56 (95% CI, 5.50–7.71). The cumulative incidence rate of unnatural mortality increased sharply over the first 10 years and that of the natural cause of death started to increase after the first decade of the illness. Male gender and poorer social functioning were associated with increased all-cause mortality risk, while male gender, lower education, and baseline hospitalization raised unnatural mortality risk. Greater monthly antipsychotic variability during the first 10 years increased all-cause mortality risk in the period after the initial 10 years.
Conclusions
This 25-year follow-up study of FEP highlighted the changes in the long-term mortality pattern of FEP and thus the phase-specific needs of individuals with FEP. Therefore, it is important to integrate physical care into mental health services, as well as stage-specific and individualized care for patients with psychotic disorders to reduce long-term excess mortality.
While much of Europe experienced hunger and hunger-related deaths during the era of the First World War, famine, as defined by an excess mortality rate of 40 per thousand, occurred mainly in the Russian Empire and later Soviet Russia. Furthermore, famine continued in Russia through 1922. In Russia there were two stages of the food problem. 1914–19 was characterized by mutual international blockades that upset regular international trade and caused general hunger with some elevated mortality. Patterns of supply were strained, especially in areas where mortality rose to famine levels. Leaders were slow to recognize the crisis, believing that excess grain production in other parts of the Empire would compensate for regions with reduced food supplies, which they did not. From 1919 to 1922, while trade had opened back up in much of Europe, it did not in Russia, which remained subject to blockade and to civil and international war. Hunger and famine in this period was much more severe, and US aid relief did not enter Soviet Russia until 1921, the final and most terrible year of the famine.
Suicide and self-harm in people with depression are major public health concerns; electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is a treatment recommended in UK clinical guidelines for severe mood disorders. We aimed to investigate published literature on the effect of ECT on the incidence of suicide, self-harm, and the recorded presence of suicidal thoughts (suicide-related outcomes). We hypothesized that ECT would be associated with a reduced incidence of suicide-related outcomes and all-cause mortality. We reviewed systematically all eligible studies as specified in our protocol (PROSPERO 293393). We included studies that compared ECT against a comparator treatment, and which included suicide-related outcomes or mortality. We searched Medline, EMBASE, and PsycINFO on January 24, 2022, updated to February 12, 2025. We identified 12,313 records and, after deduplication, screened 8,281 records on title and abstract and 212 on full-text, identifying 17 eligible studies. Studies showed significant heterogeneity in methodology, outcomes, time points chosen, and study populations. Three included studies investigated change in the suicidality domain on psychological rating scales: two showed a reduction in the ECT group; the other was underpowered for this outcome. Meta-analysis of suicide outcomes showed significant statistical heterogeneity and did not detect differences in a consistent direction. Meta-analysis of other mortality outcomes showed reductions in the risk of all-cause mortality (log relative risk [logRR]: −0.29; 95% CI: −0.53, −0.05) and non-suicide mortality (logRR: −0.21; 95% CI: −0.35, −0.07). Further high-quality studies are needed, which should seek to minimize biases (particularly confounding by indication) and report a wider range of suicide-related outcomes.
The Hooded Vulture Necrosyrtes monachus, a Critically Endangered species, faces population declines across its range, yet limited data exist on its nesting ecology and causes of breeding failure. This study used camera trapping and systematic nest searches to locate and monitor nests in southern Ghana to investigate nest-site characteristics and causes of nest failure. Eight active nests were found, mostly on tall native or introduced trees, with an average tree height of 24.94 ± 3.68 m. The nests were positioned at an average hight of 18.7 ± 4.73 m above the ground, typically in a fork formed by at least three branches. Nest-sites were in areas with greater canopy cover, that were closer to water, and with taller surrounding trees compared with non-nesting sites. Nesting success was high with a 75% fledging rate from the studied nests. Camera traps revealed that egg failures at two nests were caused by inadvertent crushing of the eggs by adult vultures while arranging nest materials, and one chick mortality resulted from parental cannibalism. However, adults at one nest successfully re-laid and fledged a chick after the initial egg loss. The findings show higher nest placement in southern Ghana than in previous studies from savanna regions, reflecting differences in habitat structure and available tree species. The study also identified nest destruction by humans and targeted tree removal as major threats to nest success in the study area. The findings highlight the complexity of natural nesting environments, where even unintentional behaviours, such as egg crushing, can affect reproductive outcomes. They also underscore the need to integrate behavioural studies into vulture conservation strategies. Addressing anthropogenic threats, including persecution, nest removal, and loss of nesting and roosting trees, is critical for the survival of this Critically Endangered species.
Sepsis affects 50 million people globally, contributing to 20 % of all deaths and significantly increasing healthcare costs due to intensive care needs. Although the role of n-3 fatty acids in reducing sepsis mortality remains debated, recent studies suggest their potential in modulating immune responses and improving outcomes. This umbrella review aims to clarify the benefits of n-3 supplementation on mortality rate, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stays and days on mechanical ventilation in patients with sepsis. Following Cochrane and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodologies, a systematic search was conducted across multiple databases up to February 2025. After independent screening, data extraction and critical appraisal, meta-analyses were reassessed using the DerSimonian and Laird model. Evidence was graded using the GRADE approach, categorising outcomes based on strength and quality. A comprehensive search identified 934 records, of which thirty-four randomised controlled trials (RCT) from twenty-one systematic reviews and meta-analyses focused on n-3 supplementation in sepsis patients. n-3 significantly reduced mortality (risk ratio: 0·79, 95 % CI 0·69, 0·90), length of ICU stays (mean difference (MD): −3·6 d, 95 % CI −4·39, −2·81) and ventilation days (MD: −2·86 d, 95 % CI −4·46, −1·26). Parenteral nutrition showed slightly better outcomes than enteral nutrition, and EPA and DHA provided superior results compared with mixed oils. These findings suggest n-3 supplementation could improve mortality, ICU stays and ventilator dependency in patients with sepsis. However, the certainty of the evidence ranges from low to very low, emphasising the need for further high-quality RCT to validate these benefits. Also, clinicians should prescribe n-3 supplements cautiously in this regard.
To evaluate the hospital-level impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on U.S. academic medical centers (AMCs) and assess regional variation in care delivery to inform public health emergency preparedness strategies.
Methods
We retrospectively analyzed adult inpatient discharges from 106 AMCs using Vizient® Clinical Data Base from October 2019 to December 2023. The study period was divided into pre-COVID (Oct 2019-Mar 2020), early-COVID (Apr 2020-Dec 2020), late-COVD (Jan 2021-May 2023), and post-COVID (Jun-Dec 2023). Outcomes included hospital encounters, length of stay (LOS), ICU admissions, ICU LOS, mortality, and case mix index (CMI). Mixed models assessed temporal and regional variation.
Results
Among 13.5 million discharges, monthly encounters declined during early COVID and rebounded post-COVID (P < 0.0001). Observed LOS increased from 6.2 to 6.7 days during the pandemic and remained elevated post-COVID (P < 0.0001). ICU LOS rose during early and late COVID (P < 0.0001), while ICU admission rates declined slightly over time (P = 0.0112). Mortality peaked at 3.4% during early COVID and returned to 2.8% post-COVID (P < 0.0001).
Conclusions
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted inpatient operations at U.S. AMCs, with increased LOS, ICU burden, and case complexity. By segmenting the pandemic into phases, we identified patterns in hospital performance that reflect evolving public health challenges.
To quantify optic nerve hypoplasia/septo-optic-pituitary dysplasia (ONH/SOD) all-cause mortality rate and risk of death in Manitoba, Canada.
Method:
A retrospective population-based study with a case–control design was undertaken using the Manitoba Population Research Data Repository. Cases were 124 ONH/SOD patients diagnosed during 1990–2019, matched to 620 unrelated population-based controls on year of birth, sex and area of residence. Both cases and controls were followed until March 31, 2022, or until they moved out of the province or died. Crude mortality rate was estimated. Cox proportional hazards models were used to test for differences in all-cause mortality between cases and controls. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated.
Results:
Six of 124 (4.8%) cases with ONH/SOD and 8 of 620 (1.3%) controls died during the study’s follow-up period. The median (25th–75th percentiles) age of death of ONH/SOD patients was 4.6 (2.7–9.1) years. The median duration of follow-up was 12.0 years for the cases and 11.4 years for the controls. The crude mortality rate (95% CIs) was 3.7 (1.7–8.3) per 1000 person-years in patients with ONH/SOD and 1.0 (0.5–2.1) per 1000 person-years in unrelated matched controls. All-cause mortality was significantly higher in ONH/SOD patients compared to unrelated controls (HR = 3.7, 95% CI = 1.3–10.5).
Conclusion:
Patients with ONH/SOD have a higher risk of death compared to unrelated controls. Healthcare professionals should be familiar with the morbidities and comorbidities associated with ONH/SOD and the complications that may lead to their demise, since they can be managed to reduce the mortality risk.
Blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations vary considerably by season and sex. The present study aimed to determine associations between vitamin D deficiency and mortality in Japanese adults and identify risk thresholds according to 25(OH)D concentrations. This was a cohort study with an 11-year follow-up. Participants were 8285 community-dwelling Japanese adults aged 40–74 years. Plasma 25(OH)D concentrations were measured by chemiluminescent immunoassay at baseline and divided into quintiles for each of the subgroups stratified by season and sex (denoted as season- and sex-stratified quintiles). The main outcome was all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Mean age and 25(OH)D concentration were 59·9 years (sd = 9·1) and 50·1 nmol/l (sd = 18·1), respectively. Lower season- and sex-stratified quintiles were associated with higher hazards of all-cause mortality (Pfor trend = 0·0015), with the first quintile (median = 28·2 nmol/l) having a higher HR (HR = 1·46, 95 % CI, 1·13, 1·88) than the highest quintile (reference). When crude quintiles were used, the overall association was similar (Pfor trend = 0·0027), with the first (median = 28·0 nmol/l) and second (median = 39·7 nmol/l) quintiles having higher HR (HR = 1·40, 95 % CI, 1·06, 1·85 and 1·38, 95 % CI, 1·07, 1·77, respectively) than the reference. The risk threshold difference was estimated to be approximately 10 nmol/l. In conclusion, low blood 25(OH)D concentrations are associated with high mortality risk. Crude blood 25(OH)D concentration may modulate the estimated risk threshold for vitamin D deficiency associated with mortality.
Using serum biomarkers that reflect fruit and vegetable (FV) intake offers a significant advantage over traditional dietary assessments by providing a more objective, accurate measure, meaningfully minimising recall bias and misreporting common in self-reported dietary data. This study investigated the relationship between these serum biomarkers and mortality risk using data from 19 168 adults aged 30 years and older who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1988 to 2006. Mortality follow-up was determined by linkage to the National Death Index through 31 December 2019 and diet by 24-h recalls. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI for mortality outcomes by tertiles of serum biomarkers of FV intake. Higher serum concentrations of total carotenoids were associated with a reduced risk of all-cause (tertile 3 v. tertile 1 HR = 0·69, 95 % CI = 0·61, 0·78) and cancer mortality (HR = 0·53, 95 % CI = 0·39, 0·71). Greater serum concentrations of individual carotenoids, such as α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, lutein and zeaxanthin, were also linked to lower risks of all-cause and cancer mortality. Higher serum potassium concentrations showed a trend towards an association with a greater risk of all-cause mortality. No significant associations were found between serum vitamin C concentrations and mortality outcomes in the overall analysis; however, in sex-stratified analyses, higher vitamin C concentrations were associated with reduced risk of all-cause and cancer mortality in women. These findings suggest that specific serum biomarkers of FV intake, particularly carotenoids and vitamin C, may serve as indicators of reduced mortality risk.
The Syrian Civil War (SCW) began in 2011 and has resulted in numerous cases of war-related civilian injuries. The modified Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (mREMS) is widely used as an effective tool for assessing clinical status and mortality risk, particularly in intensive care units (ICUs) and emergency departments (EDs). However, to date, no study has evaluated the ability of mREMS to predict mortality in patients injured during the SCW.
Study Objective:
The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of mREMS in predicting in-hospital mortality among adult trauma patients injured during the SCW. The secondary objective was to analyze the epidemiological characteristics of both adult and pediatric populations affected by the SCW.
Methods:
This single-center, retrospective observational study included patients who were injured during the SCW and presented to the ED from January 2012 through January 2016. Data from 4,074 adult patients and 1,379 pediatric patients were analyzed. The diagnostic and prognostic performance of the mREMS was specifically assessed in the adult cohort. Additionally, an epidemiological evaluation of the demographic and clinical characteristics of both cohorts was conducted.
Results:
Among the 4,074 adult patients included in the study, a total of 3,657 (89.8%) were male and 417 (10.2%) were female. In-hospital mortality occurred in 484 patients (11.9%). Adult patients admitted to the ICU exhibited a mortality rate 7.6-times higher than those who were not admitted (odds ratio [OR] = 7.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.2–9.3). The analysis of the mREMS revealed a median score of eight for survivors and fourteen for non-survivors, demonstrating a statistically significant difference (P < .001).
Conclusion:
The present study demonstrated that the majority of civilians injured during the SCW were young males. Furthermore, this study’s findings indicated that the mREMS exhibits excellent performance in predicting in-hospital mortality among trauma patients injured during the SCW.
Previous studies highlighted the health benefits of coffee and tea, but they only focused on the comparisons between different consumptions. Consequently, the association estimate lacked a clear interpretation, as the substitution of beverages and distribution of doses were not explicitly prescribed. We focused on the ‘relative association’ to ascertain the optimal consumption strategy (including total intake and optimal allocation strategy) for coffee, tea and plain water associated with decreased mortality. Self-reported coffee, tea and plain water intake were used from the UK Biobank. Within a compositional data analysis framework, a multivariate Cox model was used to assess the relative associations after adjusting for a range of potential confounders. The lower mortality risk was observed with at least approximately 7–8 drinks/d of total consumption. When the total intake > 4 drinks/d, substituting plain water with coffee or tea was linked to reduced mortality; nevertheless, the benefit was not seen for ≤ 4 drinks/d. Besides, a balanced consumption of coffee and tea (roughly a ratio of 2:3) associated with the lowest hazard ratios of 0·55 (95 % CI 0·47, 0·64) for all-cause mortality, 0·59 (95 % CI 0·48, 0·72) for cancer mortality, 0·69 (95 % CI 0·49, 0·99) for CVD mortality, 0·28 (95 % CI 0·15, 0·52) for respiratory disease mortality and 0·35 (95 % CI 0·15, 0·82) for digestive disease mortality than other combinations. These results highlight the importance of the rational combination of coffee, tea and plain water, with particular emphasis on ensuring adequate total intake, offering more comprehensive and explicit guidance for individuals.
The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of gillnet soak time to gain a better understanding of fish welfare, mortality, stress, and quality (as measured as muscle haemoglobin) during experimental gillnet fishery of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). An experimental study was conducted in a large-scale tank at a research facility with 131 wild-caught fish in four groups with gillnet soak times of 0, 2, 12, and 24 h (23–34 fish per soak time). Longer soak time caused higher mortality, with a mortality rate of 0, 7, 18, and 25% in the 0-, 2-, 12- and 24-h groups, respectively. Blood lactate levels were significantly affected by soak time, peaking at 2 h (with the widest confidence interval) and showing their lowest concentrations at 0 and 24 h. Soak time also significantly increased blood glucose and serum cortisol levels. Magnesium, creatinine, and iron increased significantly in all groups compared with control levels, but there was no significant difference between soak times. Haemoglobin content in the loin increased significantly only after 24 h of soak time for live fish. There was no significant increase in haemoglobin in the belly as a function of soak time. However, for all soak times, the belly had significantly more haemoglobin than the loin. Physiological evidence of traumatic injuries and stress were noted prior to increased muscle haemoglobin, meaning that good quality did not necessarily equate to good welfare. However, a higher level of muscle haemoglobin is a strong indication of poor welfare.
Patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) are at high early risk of mortality and morbidity. Current risk prediction tools focus on patients after hospital discharge but not on those surviving to outpatient follow-up. We examined whether demographic and medical history data could predict 1-year stroke recurrence and mortality, among those discharged alive and event-free for 90 days after stroke and 1 day after TIA.
Methods:
Data were obtained from the Ontario Stroke Registry (13,848 stroke and 13,059 TIA patients) and linked to administrative databases. Two-thirds of each cohort were used for model derivation and one-third for validation. Multivariable regression models were used to predict stroke recurrence and all-cause mortality.
Results:
There were 238 (2.71%) recurrent strokes in the ischemic stroke and 298 (3.44%) in the TIA cohorts at one year. Increasing age and previous stroke/TIA were associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke in both cohorts. A higher modified Rankin Scale and diabetes were associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke in the stroke cohort and heart failure, smoking and discharge location in the TIA cohort. Time-dependent areas under the curve were modest, 0.59 (0.54–0.64) and 0.59 (0.55–0.64) for the stroke and TIA validation cohorts, respectively. C-statistics from derivation and validation cohorts for mortality ranged from 0.74–0.78.
Conclusion:
The predictive accuracy of the models was quite low after accounting for several risk factors. Additional risk factors associated with stroke recurrence for people seen in outpatient stroke clinics, and innovative approaches to individualized secondary prevention are needed.