from Part II - Russia and the Soviet Union: Themes and Trends
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 28 March 2008
‘A great power has no permanent friends, just permanent interests’,an oft-heard aphorism about international politics, assumes these interests areobvious. In Britain’s case it was to prevent the domination of continentalEurope. For Great Powers in general, it has been to maintain a balance againstemerging hegemonic threats, such as Napoleonic France, Hitler’s Germany orthe post-war Soviet Union.
Advising states to balance against power, the aphorism also warns against treatingother states as natural allies, as an enemy today might be a friend tomorrow, asBritain found with the Soviet Union in June 1941. But aphorisms are rarely morethan half-truths. States’ interests are no more permanent than their alliesor enemies. Threats and interests are not obvious or objective. There is nothingabout French and British nuclear weapons that make them objectively lessthreatening to the United States than Chinese warheads.
How, then, does a state become a threat? Realism tells us that power threatens. NoGreat Power feels threatened by Togo. But power is only necessary, not sufficient,to threaten. Britain, the Soviet Union, the United States and France did notbalance against Hitler’s Germany before the Second World War. Britain andFrance did not balance against the United States after the Second World War.Britain, France, China and Russia have not balanced against the United Statessince the end of the Cold War.
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