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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 03 January 2025
We document significant increases in the suspension of ongoing drug projects following the passage of the Food and Drug Administration Amendments Act of 2007 (FDAAA), which mandates that pharmaceutical companies publicly disclose detailed clinical study results. Our results suggest a causal interpretation through difference-in-differences analyses that exploit variations in pre-FDAAA information environments. We also show evidence that fewer new projects are initiated after the FDAAA. Drug developers’ learning from peer failures is the primary mechanism, further amplified by financial constraints. We also examine the consequences of enhanced information disclosure, including changes in firm investment efficiency, drug quality, and disease morbidity.
We are grateful for the helpful comments from Philip Bond, Yao-Ming Chiang, Ran Duchin (the editor), Lora Dimitrova (NFA discussant), Liran Einav, Luminita Enache (FARS discussant), Jarrad Harford, Christopher Hrdlicka, Joshua Krieger (AIEA-NBER discussant), Yao Lu, Song Ma (AFA discussant), Christopher Parsons, Ivan Png, Ariel Stern, Lea Stern, Richard Thakor (MFA discussant), Joy Tong (EFA discussant), Ayung Tseng (AAA discussant), Chi-Yang Tsou, Lucy Wang, Yanzhi Wang, Moqi Xu, Alminas Zaldokas, and Minyuan Zhao, as well as conference participants of the 2019 Hong Kong Junior Accounting Faculty Conference, 2019 NFA meeting, Taiwan Symposium on Innovation Economics and Entrepreneurship, 2020 FARS meeting, the 2020 AIEA-NBER conference, 2020 MFA meeting, 2020 AAA meeting, 2021 EFA meeting, 2022 AFA meeting, and seminar participants at U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), National Taiwan University, Peking University HSBC Business School, Korea University, KAIST, the University of Colorado Boulder, the University of Washington – Seattle, Tsinghua University, and Yonsei University. All errors are our own.