Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems

doi:10.1017/CBO9780511546006

Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems is based on the Third George Kovacs Colloquium organized by the International Hydrological Programme (UNESCO) and the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. Thirty-five leading scientists with international reputations provide reviews of topical areas of research on water resource systems, including aspects of extreme hydrological events: floods and droughts; water quantity and quality dams; reservoirs and hydraulic structures; evaluating sustainability and climate change impacts. As well as discussing essential challenges and research directions, the book will assist in applying theoretical methods to the solution of practical problems in water resources. The authors are multi-disciplinary, stemming from such areas as: hydrology, geography, civil, environmental and agricultural engineering, forestry, systems sciences, operations research, mathematics, physics and geophysics, ecology and atmospheric sciences. This review volume will be valuable for graduate students, scientists, consultants, administrators, and practising hydrologists and water managers.

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Contents

Frontmatter
pp i-viii
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Contents
pp ix-xii
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List of Contributors
pp xiii-xvi
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1 - Introduction
pp 1-3
- By Janos J. Bogardi, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
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2 - Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
pp 4-21
- By Adrian V. Gheorghe
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3 - Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
pp 22-29
- By V. Klemeš
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4 - Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
pp 30-40
- By Robert J. Moore
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5 - Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
pp 41-46
- By Roman Krzysztofowicz
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6 - Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
pp 47-53
- By O. Gilard
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7 - Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
pp 54-61
- By Jonathan F. Thomas, Bryson C. Bates
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8 - Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
pp 62-69
- By Norio Okada
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9 - Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
pp 70-75
- By W. Kinzelbach, S. Vassolo, G.-M. Li
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10 - Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
pp 76-85
- By Thierry Fahmy, Eric Parent, Dominique Gatel
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11 - Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
pp 86-100
- By Aregai Tecle, David E. Rupp
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12 - Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
pp 101-110
- By Richard M. Vogel, Christopher J. Bell, Ranjith R. Suresh, Neil M. Fennessey
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13 - Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
pp 111-121
- By A. Bárdossy, L. Duckstein
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14 - Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
pp 122-132
- By Michael J. Bender
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15 - System and component uncertainties in water resources
pp 133-142
- By Ben Chie Yen
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16 - Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
pp 143-152
- By B. J. Lence, A. Ruszczyński
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17 - Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
pp 153-161
- By Bijaya P. Shrestha
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18 - Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
pp 162-168
- By Uri Shamir
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19 - Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
pp 169-180
- By Daniel P. Loucks
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20 - Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
pp 181-189
- By H. P. Nachtnebel
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21 - Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
pp 190-198
- By Kuniyoshi Takeuchi
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22 - Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
pp 199-208
- By Darko Milutin, Janos J. Bogardi
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23 - Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
pp 209-220
- By Erich J. Plate
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Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems

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Contents

Frontmatter
pp i-viii

Contents
pp ix-xii

List of Contributors
pp xiii-xvi

1 - Introduction
pp 1-3

2 - Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
pp 4-21

3 - Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
pp 22-29

4 - Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
pp 30-40

5 - Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
pp 41-46

6 - Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
pp 47-53

7 - Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
pp 54-61

8 - Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
pp 62-69

9 - Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
pp 70-75

10 - Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
pp 76-85

11 - Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
pp 86-100

12 - Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
pp 101-110

13 - Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
pp 111-121

14 - Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
pp 122-132

15 - System and component uncertainties in water resources
pp 133-142

16 - Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
pp 143-152

17 - Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
pp 153-161

18 - Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
pp 162-168

19 - Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
pp 169-180

20 - Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
pp 181-189

21 - Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
pp 190-198

22 - Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
pp 199-208

23 - Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
pp 209-220

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Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems

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