Contents

pp v-viii

General Introduction

pp ix-xiv

Editorial Foreword by R. B. Braithwaite

pp xv-xxii

Editorial Note

pp xxiii-xxiv

Preface to the First Edition

pp xxv-xxvi

I - FUNDAMENTAL IDEAS

pp 1-2

1 - THE MEANING OF PROBABILITY

pp 3-9

2 - PROBABILITY IN RELATION TO THE THEORY OF KNOWLEDGE

pp 10-20

3 - THE MEASUREMENT OF PROBABILITIES

pp 21-43

4 - THE PRINCIPLE OF INDIFFERENCE

pp 44-69

5 - OTHER METHODS OF DETERMINING PROBABILITIES

pp 70-76

6 - THE WEIGHT OF ARGUMENTS

pp 77-85

7 - HISTORICAL RETROSPECT

pp 86-99

8 - THE FREQUENCY THEORY OF PROBABILITY

pp 100-120

9 - THE CONSTRUCTIVE THEORY OF PART I SUMMARISED

pp 121-122

II - FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS

pp 123-124

10 - INTRODUCTORY

pp 125-132

11 - THE THEORY OF GROUPS, WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO LOGICAL CONSISTENCE, INFERENCE, AND LOGICAL PRIORITY

pp 133-143

12 - THE DEFINITIONS AND AXIOMS OF INFERENCE AND PROBABILITY

pp 144-150

13 - THE FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS OF NECESSARY INFERENCE

pp 151-157

14 - THE FUNDAMENTAL THEOREMS OF PROBABLE INFERENCE

pp 158-173

15 - NUMERICAL MEASUREMENT AND APPROXIMATION OF PROBABILITIES

pp 174-180

16 - OBSERVATIONS ON THE THEOREMS OF CHAPTER 14 AND THEIR DEVELOPMENTS, INCLUDING TESTIMONY

pp 181-205

17 - SOME PROBLEMS IN INVERSE PROBABILITY, INCLUDING AVERAGES

pp 206-238

III - INDUCTION AND ANALOGY

pp 239-240

18 - INTRODUCTION

pp 241-246

19 - THE NATURE OF ARGUMENT BY ANALOGY

pp 247-258

20 - THE VALUE OF MULTIPLICATION OF INSTANCES, OR PURE INDUCTION

pp 259-268

21 - THE NATURE OF INDUCTIVE ARGUMENT CONTINUED

pp 269-278