Prediction and classification are two very active areas in modern data analysis. In this paper, prediction with nonlinear optimal scaling transformations of the variables is reviewed, and extended to the use of multiple additive components, much in the spirit of statistical learning techniques that are currently popular, among other areas, in data mining. Also, a classification/clustering method is described that is particularly suitable for analyzing attribute-value data from systems biology (genomics, proteomics, and metabolomics), and which is able to detect groups of objects that have similar values on small subsets of the attributes.

Thanks to its outstanding performances, boosting has rapidly gained wide acceptance among actuaries. Wüthrich and Buser (Data Analytics for Non-Life Insurance Pricing. Lecture notes available at SSRN. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2870308, 2019) established that boosting can be conducted directly on the response under Poisson deviance loss function and log-link, by adapting the weights at each step. This is particularly useful to analyze low counts (typically, numbers of reported claims at policy level in personal lines). Huyghe et al. (Boosting cost-complexity pruned trees on Tweedie responses: The ABT machine for insurance ratemaking. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal. https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2023.2258135, 2022) adopted this approach to propose a new boosting machine with cost-complexity pruned trees. In this approach, trees included in the score progressively reduce to the root-node one, in an adaptive way. This paper reviews these results and presents the new BT package in R contributed by Willame (Boosting Trees Algorithm. https://cran.r-project.org/package=BT; https://github.com/GiregWillame/BT, 2022), which is designed to implement this approach for insurance studies. A numerical illustration demonstrates the relevance of the new tool for insurance pricing.

Short-sighted decisions can have devastating consequences, and teaching people to make their decisions in a more far-sighted way is challenging. Previous research found that reflecting on one’s behavior can boost learning from success and failure. Here, we explore the potential benefits of guiding people to reflect on whether and how they thought about what to do (i.e., systematic metacognitive reflection). We devised a series of Socratic questions that prompt people to reflect on their decision-making and tested their effectiveness in a process-tracing experiment with a 5-step planning task ( $N=265$ ). Each participant went through several cycles of making a series of decisions and then either reflecting on how they made those decisions, answering unrelated questions, or moving on to the next decision right away. We found that systematic metacognitive reflection helps people discover adaptive, far-sighted decision strategies faster. Our results suggest that systematic metacognitive reflection is a promising approach to boosting people’s decision-making competence.

Nudging has become a well-known policy practice. Recently, ‘boosting’ has been suggested as an alternative to nudging. In contrast to nudges, boosts aim to empower individuals to exert their own agency to make decisions. This article is one of the first to compare a nudging and a boosting intervention, and it does so in a critical field setting: hand hygiene compliance of hospital nurses. During a 4-week quasi-experiment, we tested the effect of a reframing nudge and a risk literacy boost on hand hygiene compliance in three hospital wards. The results show that nudging and boosting were both effective interventions to improve hand hygiene compliance. A tentative finding is that, while the nudge had a stronger immediate effect, the boost effect remained stable for a week, even after the removal of the intervention. We conclude that, besides nudging, researchers and policymakers may consider boosting when they seek to implement or test behavioral interventions in domains such as healthcare.

We present an actuarial claims reserving technique that takes into account both claim counts and claim amounts. Separate (overdispersed) Poisson models for the claim counts and the claim amounts are combined by a joint embedding into a neural network architecture. As starting point of the neural network calibration, we use exactly these two separate (overdispersed) Poisson models. Such a nested model can be interpreted as a boosting machine. It allows us for joint modeling and mutual learning of claim counts and claim amounts beyond the two individual (overdispersed) Poisson models.

A new algorithm, called boosted hybrid method, is proposed for the simulation of chemical reaction systems with scale-separation in time and disparity in species population. For such stiff systems, the algorithm can automatically identify scale-separation in time and slow down the fast reactions while maintaining a good approximation to the original effective dynamics. This technique is called boosting. As disparity in species population may still exist in the boosted system, we propose a hybrid strategy based on coarse-graining methods, such as the tau-leaping method, to accelerate the reactions among large population species. The combination of the boosting strategy and the hybrid method allow for an efficient and adaptive simulation of complex chemical reactions. The new method does not need a priori knowledge of the system and can also be used for systems with hierarchical multiple time scales. Numerical experiments illustrate the versatility and efficiency of the method.