Twin children are more likely to die than singletons. This is an additional burden in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, as child mortality levels are already higher than anywhere else. This article provides estimates of under-5 mortality rates (U5MRs) for twins and singletons in SSA from 1986 to 2016. It describes the geographical variations and changes over time. It also describes the variation of twins’ excess mortality according to age from 0 to 5 years. Additionally, it analyzes the factors associated with twins’ excess mortality. We used data from 156 national surveys from 42 countries. We estimated U5MRs for twins and single children and built a Cox model to analyze factors associated with excess mortality among twins. Although child mortality has declined on the continent, twins’ excess mortality remains very high. U5MRs are, on average, 3 times higher among twins than singletons. The Cox model shows that all other things being equal, the adjusted hazard ratio of under-5 mortality (U5M) is 3.2 (2.9−3.3; p < .001) times higher among twins than singletons. The main factors associated with excess mortality risks among twins are biomedical and nutritional features, such as low birth weight, non-use of cesarean section delivery, and lack of breastfeeding. Health policy makers in SSA should be aware of the vulnerability of twins, and interventions to prevent their early deaths should be considered.

Since the 1970s, twin birth rates have increased sharply in developed countries. In Africa, where the rate is the highest globally, its evolution and variation are poorly understood. This article aims to estimate the twinning rate in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries throughout 1986–2016 and analyze its spatial, temporal, and ethnic variations. It also seeks to identify social and demographic factors associated with a high probability of twin births and outline a forecast of the twinning rate. We used data from 174 Demographic and Health Surveys from 42 countries. We supplemented them with the UN World Population Prospects (WPP). The twinning rate was calculated by reporting the number of twin births per thousand total births. We used logistic regression to analyze the factors associated with twin births. We projected the twinning rate based on WPP. The overall SSA twinning rate is 17.4 per 1000, but it has changed very little over time, and we expect it will grow a little between 2015 and 2050, increasing at most from 17.4 per 1000 to 18.4 per 1000. We also show significant differences in the twinning rate in SSA according to mother ethnicity. Most ethnic groups with high twinning rates belong to the large Bantu ethnic family. SSA remains the ‘land of twins’, with the twinning rate changing slowly. However, specific health policies must target twin births in SSA to address the public health challenges they present.

Thailand has been severely affected by AIDS/HIV. The epidemic has undermined the health of the population of working age, placing stress on intergenerational relations and threatening the social fabric. Older people in families affected by the disease, although not the main victims, have experienced major changes in relationships with their adult children and grandchildren. However, the availability of antiretrovirals has transformed HIV infection from a lethal to a chronic disease. Intergenerational relationships are analysed with data from a quantitative survey of HIV-infected adults currently receiving antiretroviral treatment in Northern Thailand. The introduction of antiretroviral treatment has eased the pressure on families. Where HIV-infected adults are more dependent on their older parents, it is because they are single and childless or single parents. While ageing parents remain a source of support for their adult children, the introduction of antiretroviral treatment has radically changed the prospects for HIV-infected adults and their regained health allows them to work, take care of their family and fulfil their filial duties as expected in Thai society. If Thailand's original aim in introducing health policies in this area was to curtail the HIV epidemic, its positive impact on intergenerational relations is an additional benefit.