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Stegenga (forthcoming) formulates and defends a novel account of scientific progress, according to which science makes progress just in case there is a change in scientific justification. Here, we present several problems for Stegenga’s account, concerning, respectively, (i) obtaining misleading evidence, (ii) losses or destruction of evidence, (iii) oscillations in scientific justification, and (iv) the possibility of scientific regress. We conclude by sketching a substantially different justification-based account of scientific progress that avoids these problems.
Depression occurs in ~50% of Parkinson’s disease (PD) patients, increases in severity and duration as the disease progresses, and is associated with increased morbidity. Improvement of depression in PD patients is correlated with reduced physical disability and improved quality of life. We are assessing use of pimavanserin (PIM) for treatment of depression in adults with PD.
Method:
A Phase-2, 8-week, open-label, single-arm study is being conducted to evaluate the safety and efficacy of PIM as an adjunct to SSRI/SNRI or as monotherapy in adults with both PD and symptoms of depression (baseline Hamilton Depression Scale [17-items] total score [HAMD-17] ≥15). The primary endpoint of the study is change from Baseline to Week 8 in the HAMD-17. Secondary measures included the Clinical Global Impression (CGI) scales (improvement and severity) and Scales of Outcomes in PD-Sleep (SCOPA).
Results:
Interim results based on the first 34 of 40 planned patients have been evaluated: 55.9% of patients were male, and average age was 68.1 years, with 19 patients on adjunctive therapy and 15 on monotherapy. At baseline, patients had a mean (SE) HAMD-17 of 19.8(0.6). Change from Baseline to Week 8 (least squares mean [LSM] [SE]) in the HAMD-17 was –10.7(1.0) (95% CI; –12.7,–8.7; P<0.001), with significant improvement seen as early as Week 2 (–8.4[1.0]; 95% CI; –10.5,–6.4; P<0.001). Significant improvement was seen for both adjunctive treatment and monotherapy: 45.2% of patients responded to treatment (≥50% improvement on the HAMD-17) at Week 8, and 35.5% reached remission (HAMD-17 ≤7). On the Clinical Global Impressions–Improvement scale, 54.8% were much/very much improved at Week 8. Significant improvement was seen in change from Baseline to Week 8 SCOPA–Global Sleep Quality, –Nighttime Sleep, and –Daytime Sleepiness: –1.0(0.4) (95% CI; –1.7,–0.3; P=0.010), –2.1(0.7) (95% CI; –3.6,–0.6; P=0.008), –2.1(0.4) (95% CI; –3.0,–1.2; P<0.001) respectively. Twenty-one of the 34 enrolled patients have completed the study to date, and another 7 are still continuing. Thirteen patients reported adverse events, the most common being falls, UTI, diarrhea, and nausea.
Conclusions:
These interim data suggest that PIM as adjunctive treatment or monotherapy is associated with early improvement of depressive symptoms in patients with PD and is well tolerated. This is consistent with recently reported data of PIM in major depressive disorder. Final data will be shared at the time of this presentation. However, additional placebo-controlled data will be needed to determine fully the efficacy of PIM in patients with comorbid PD and depression.
A planned subgroup analysis of a phase 3 study was performed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of pimavanserin (PIM) in Parkinson’s disease psychosis (PDP) patients withglobal cognitive impairment.
Background
PDP is frequent, distressing, a leading cause of institutionalization, complicates PD management and is linked to increased morbidity, incident dementia and mortality. PIM, a selective serotonin receptor (5-HT2A) inverse agonist/antagonist, is newly FDA-approved for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with PDP.
Methods
In Study 020, a 6-week FDA registration study, 199 patients with baseline Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score ≥21, moderate-severe psychosis, and on stable PD meds, were randomized to PIM (34 mg/day) or placebo (PBO) for 6 weeks. This subgroup analysis evaluates efficacy and safety between two groups: those with MMSE total score ≥21 but <25 (cognitively impaired; equivalent to Montreal Cognitive Assessment [MoCA] score 15-19) and those with score ≥25 (cognitively normal; equivalent to MoCA score 20-30). Safety assessments were performed on the full safety dataset (i.e., three 6-week placebo-controlled studies) including 614 subjects (PIM=382, PBO=231).
Results
Overall, patients in the PIM group experienced a statistically significant improvement in SAPS-PD scores from baseline to Day 43 compared with PBO (-5.79 vs. -2.73; p=0.001). In the subgroup analysis stratifying by baseline MMSE score, the change from baseline to Day 43 compared with PBO in the cognitively-impaired group (N=50) was numerically larger (-7.11 vs. -0.47; p=0.002). In the full safety dataset examining cognitively impaired patients, there were no between-group (PIM vs. PBO) differences in any treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE) (57.6% vs. 56.1%) or serious TEAE (6.8% vs. 5.3%). The most common TEAEs occurring at ≥5% in either group were fall (7.4% vs.10.5%), confusional state (6.5% vs.1.8%), and orthostatic hypotension (0.0% vs. 8.8%).
Conclusions
In this subgroup analysis of PDP patients, the treatment effect of PIM on SAPS-PD was larger in the cognitively-impaired group, with similar TEAE and serious TEAE rates. These results hold promise for cognitively-impaired patients that will be further elucidated in future studies.
Funding Acknowledgements
Clinical study was funded by ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Psychosis is common in Parkinson’s disease (PD) and increases in both frequency and severity with disease duration. It is associated with increased morbidity/mortality, complicates management of motor symptoms and often leads to long-term care placement. Pimavanserin (PIM) is a highly selective serotonin 5-HT2A receptor antagonist/inverse agonist indicated for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with PD psychosis (PDP). The study aim is to review theevidence-base for PIM for the treatment of PDP using the metrics of evidence-based medicine, namely number needed to treat (NNT), number needed to harm (NNH), andlikelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH), in order to better place this intervention into clinical perspective.
Methods
NNT and NNH are measures of effect size and indicate how many patients would need to be treated with one agent instead of the comparator in order to encounter one additional outcome of interest. A useful medication is one with a low NNT and a high NNH when comparing it with another intervention; a low NNT and a high NNH would mean one is more likely to encounter a benefit than a harm. Categorical efficacy and tolerability data was extracted from the clinical trial databases of the double-blind placebo-controlled studies of PIM in persons with PDP. The studies were 6 weeks in duration and fixed dose with the exception of study ACP-103-006 which was 4-weeks in duration. NNT and NNH values were calculated with their respective 95% confidence intervals. Efficacy endpoints were defined based on 2 definitions: a) Scale for the Assessment ofPositive Symptoms in Parkinson’s Disease (SAPS-PD) total score decrease ≥3 points from baseline and b) Clinical Global Impressions-Improvement scale (CGI-I) score of 1 (very much improved) or 2 (much improved). Tolerability outcomes of clinical interest, occurring at any time in available studies were assessed, including discontinuation due toan adverse event (AE). Likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH) was then calculated contrasting therapeutic response vs. discontinuation because of an AE.
Results
NNT values for PIM 34 mg/d vs. placebo for several definitions of clinical response are <10, and as robust as 4, denoting that PIM is a potentially efficacious intervention. NNH values for tolerability outcomes for PIM 34 mg/d (as well as for doses that range from 8.5 mg/d to 51 mg/d) are >10, and/or are not statistically significant, and/or show an advantage for PIM over placebo (such as for postural hypotension), denoting that PIM is a potentially tolerable intervention. In terms of LHH, PIM 34 mg/d is about 5 times more likely to result in clinical response (as measured by ≥3 point decrease from baseline on the SAPS-PD) vs. discontinuation due to an adverse event.
Conclusions
Using the metrics of NNT, NNH, and LHH, PIM 34 mg/d for the treatment of PDP appears to have a compelling benefit-risk profile.
Funding Acknowledgements
Clinical study was funded by ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Psychosis is common in Parkinson’s disease (PD) and increases in both frequency and severity with disease duration. It is associated withincreased morbidity/mortality, complicates management of motor symptoms and often leads to long-term care placement. Pimavanserin is a selective 5-HT2A inverse agonist/antagonist approved in the U.S. for treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson’s disease psychosis (PDP). Depression affects up to 60% ofPD patients and is frequently treated with SSRIs/SNRIs. Data suggest the potential for a synergistic effect between 5 HT2A receptor inverse agonist/antagonists and SSRIs insubjects with neuropsychiatric disease. This post-hoc analysis evaluated a subgroup of subjects from the pimavanserin clinical program to determine if there was any difference in antipsychotic response between the subjects receiving pimavanserin in combination with an SSRI versus those without.
Method
A pooled analysis of two 6-week randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 3 studies was conducted to assess the overall treatment effect of pimavanserin34 mg. The outside-North America region in Study 012 was not included due to a difference in methodology in the assessment of the primary endpoint. Subjects in both the 020 and 012 studies received 42 days of treatment. The mITT population included 268 subjects; with 135 in the pimavanserin group. The full safety dataset included 433 subjects; with 202 in the pimavanserin group. Of the 268 subjects in the mITT population, a total of 77 received concomitant therapy with SSRIs. A subgroup analysis was conducted to determine if there was any difference in response among the subjects receiving concomitant SSRIs.
Results
Overall, pimavanserin demonstrated a -6.21-point improvement in psychosis at Week 6 as measured by the PD-adapted Scale for Assessment of Positive Symptoms (primary change from baseline analysis [MMRM]). The treatment difference was 2.87 points over placebo (p<0.001) and was clinically meaningful. Both subgroups (pimavanserin +/- SSRI) demonstrated a statistically significant improvement over placebo. Among subjects taking concomitant SSRIs, the decrease in psychosis symptoms was more prominent for both pimavanserin and placebo-treated subjects (-8.33 points and -4.01 points, respectively) compared to the 189 subjects not taking SSRIs (-5.36 points and -3.01 points, respectively); the treatment difference was of greater magnitude in the concomitant SSRI treated group (-4.32 vs. -2.34). A total of 10% (4/40) and 7.4% (12/162) of pimavanserin treated subjects, with and without SSRIs, respectively, discontinued because of adverse reactions.
Conclusions
The results of this analysis further support findings that the combination of selective 5-HT2A agonist/antagonists and SSRIs may have additive beneficial effects, suggesting a possible enhancement of antipsychotic effect in subjects treated with concomitant SSRIs.
Funding Acknowledgements
Clinical study was funded by ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Our aim was to describe the efficacy and tolerability of pimavanserin, a highly selective serotonin 5-HT2A receptor inverse agonist/antagonist indicated for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson’s disease psychosis (PDP), using the metrics of number needed to treat (NNT) and number needed to harm (NNH).
Methods
Categorical efficacy and tolerability data were extracted from the clinical trial databases of the double-blind placebo-controlled studies of pimavanserin in persons with PDP. NNT and NNH values were calculated with their respective 95% confidence intervals. The likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH) was then calculated contrasting therapeutic response versus discontinuation because of an adverse event.
Results
NNT values for pimavanserin 34 mg/d versus placebo for several definitions of clinical response are <10, and as robust as 4. NNH values for tolerability outcomes for pimavanserin 34 mg/d (as well as for doses that range from 8.5 to 51 mg/d) are >10, and/or are not statistically significant, and/or show an advantage for pimavanserin over placebo (such as for postural hypotension). In terms of LHH, pimavanserin 34 mg/d is about five times more likely to result in clinical response (as measured by a ≥3 point decrease from baseline on the Scale for the Assessment of Positive Symptoms adapted for Parkinson’s disease) versus discontinuation due to an adverse event.
Conclusions
Using the metrics of NNT, NNH, and LHH, pimavanserin 34 mg/d for the treatment of PDP appears to have a compelling benefit/risk profile.
Fourteen oribatid mite fossils have been recovered from a terrestrial Devonian deposit near Gilboa, New York; they allow an approximate doubling of the known age of the group. Two species are represented by specimens complete enough to allow descriptions. Protochthonius gilboa n. gen. and sp. is the earliest derivative known member of the Enarthronota, and comprises the monobasic new family Protochthoniidae. Devonacarus sellnicki n. gen. and sp. also represents a monobasic new family, Devonacaridae; it may also be an early derivative enarthronote mite, but its relationships are uncertain. Two other species are represented at the site, but meaningful descriptions are not possible with available material.
Red Bull Stratos was a commercial program that brought a test parachutist, protected by a full-pressure suit, in a stratospheric balloon with pressurized capsule to over 127,582 ft (38,969 m), from which he free fell and subsequently parachuted to the ground. Given that the major risks to the parachutist included ebullism, negative Gz (toe-to-head) acceleration exposure from an uncontrolled flat spin, and trauma, a comprehensive plan was developed to recover the parachutist under nominal conditions and to respond to any medical contingencies that might have arisen. In this report, the project medical team describes the experience of providing emergency medical support and crew recovery for the manned balloon flights of the program.
Methods
The phases of flight, associated risks, and available resources were systematically evaluated.
Results
Six distinct phases of flight from an Emergency Medical Services (EMS) standpoint were identified. A Medical Support Plan was developed to address the risks associated with each phase, encompassing personnel, equipment, procedures, and communications.
Discussion
Despite geographical, communications, and resource limitations, the medical team was able to implement the Medical Support Plan, enabling multiple successful manned balloon flights to 71,615 ft (21,828 m), 97,221 ft (29,610 m), and 127,582 ft (38,969 m). The experience allowed refinement of the EMS and crew recovery procedures for each successive flight and could be applied to other high altitude or commercial space ventures.
BlueRS, NortonSC, LawJ, PattariniJM, AntonsenEL, GarbinoA, ClarkJB, TurneyMW. Emergency Medical Support for a Manned Stratospheric Balloon Test Program. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2014;29(5):1-6.
Purpose: The use of automatic external defibrillators (AED) by emergency medical service (EMS) first responders (FR) is widely advocated based largely on reports from one metropolitan area, but widespread impact on survival remains unproven. We hypothesized that the addition of AEDs to an EMS system with short FR and prolonged paramedic response times (4 vs. 10 minutes) would improve survival from sudden cardiac death.
Methods: Prospective, controlled, crossover study (AED vs. no AED) of consecutive cardiac arrests managed by 24 FR fire companies from 1992–1995 in a city of 440,000. Patients were stratified by the Utstein criteria. Primary end-point was survival to hospital discharge among patients with bystander witnessed arrests of cardiac etiology. Power was set at 0.8 to detect a 10% difference in survival.
Results: A total of 627 patients were studied. Groups were comparable for age, gender, history of myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure or diabetes, arrest at home, bystander CPR, and ventricular fibrillation (VF) as initial rhythm.
In recent decades, there has been growing interest among farming and scientific communities toward integrated crop–range–livestock farming because of evidence of increased crop production, soil health, environmental services and resilience to increased climatic variability. This paper reviews studies on existing cropping systems and integrated crop–range–livestock systems across the USA which are relevant in the context of summarizing opportunities and challenges associated with implementing long-term crop–range–livestock systems research in the highly variable environment of the central High Plains. With precipitation ranging from 305 to 484mm and uncertain irrigation water supply, this region is especially vulnerable to changing moisture and temperature patterns. The results of our review indicate that diverse crop rotations, reduced soil disturbance and integrated crop–livestock systems could increase economic returns and agroecosystem resilience. Integrating agricultural system components to acquire unique benefits from small- to medium-sized operations, however, is a challenging task. This is because assessment and identification of suitable farming systems, selection of the most efficient integration scheme, and pinpointing the best management practices are crucial for successful integration of components. Effective integration requires development of evaluation criteria that incorporate the efficiency of approaches under consideration and their interactions. Therefore, establishing the basis for more sustainable farming systems in the central High Plains relies on both long-term agricultural systems research and evaluation of short-term dynamics of individual components.
A community survey and subsequent clinical assessment of 192 Cree aged 65 years and over registered in two Reserves in Northern Manitoba identified only one case of probable Alzheimer's disease among eight cases of dementia, giving a prevalence of 0.5% for Alzheimer's disease and 4.2% for all dementias. This contrasted with an age-adjusted prevalence of 3.5% for Alzheimer's disease and 4.2% for all dementias in an age-stratified sample of 241 English-speaking residents of Winnipeg. Although it was not so for all dementias, the difference between the groups for prevalence of Alzheimer's disease was highly significant (p < .001). The age-specific patterns of all dementias in the two groups were significantly different, however (p = .0254).
Baird's tapir, Tapirus bairdii, is an endangered, large, Central American mammal whose shy behaviour, solitary social structure and preference for deep tropical forests make it difficult to study using traditional field biology techniques. Despite great concern regarding its conservation status, very little is known about its population structure, mating system or dispersal patterns, information needed for designing appropriate management plans. Molecular genetic approaches can be of use in obtaining such information. In this study, we developed six polymorphic microsatellite genetic markers from genomic libraries of T. bairdii and T. terrestris. Using these markers, we completed the first assessment of genetic variability and population genetic structure in Baird's tapirs. Populations from southern Costa Rica and southern Panama were found to have low levels of genetic variability (allelic content, heterozygosity) but no indication of a recent population bottleneck. Bayesian and standard (F-statistic) analyses of genotype data indicate that the southern Costa Rican and southern Panamanian populations of Baird's tapirs were connected by some (at least one migrant per generation) gene flow prior to the destruction of intermittent habitat. These results indicate that the connection of these two populations by a MesoAmerican Biological Corridor (MBC) would be appropriate.
Three patients with Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker disease (GSS) caused by a serine-for-phenylalanine substitution at codon 198 of the prion protein gene (PRNP) were compared to 9 age- and education-matched non-mutation-carriers from the same large Indiana kindred (GSS–IK) on a comprehensive neuropsychological test battery. Clinically significant impairments in intelligence, secondary memory, attention and cognitive processing speed, executive ability, and manual motor skills were noted in 2 patients. The wide range and the severity of the cognitive deficits indicated generalized cerebral dysfunction consistent with global dementia. One patient, symptomatic for less than 1 year, had more selective deficits involving memory, motor skills, and verbal fluency, suggesting early subcortical involvement. (JINS, 1997, 3, 169–178.)
Recent work by the authors has been extended to demonstrate the formation of solid krypton in single-crystal magnesium oxide. The solid inclusions, which were formed by ion implantation at room temperature, have been identified by electron diffraction. The formation of solid noble gas inclusions at room temperature indicates that they were under a high pressure. This pressure was determined, based on the measured lattice parameter, to be 1.7 GPa.
Thin films of barium titanate (BaTiO3) have been deposited by pulsed-laser ablation onto (001)-oriented MgO substrates. The films were epitactic with the c-axis perpendicular to the film-substrate interface, as evidenced by both transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and ion-channeling techniques. The elastic resonance of 3.045 MeV α-particles, generating the 16O(α, α)16O reaction was used to determine the oxygen stoichiometry of the film and the minimum yield based on the oxygen peaks, thereby enabling conclusions to be drawn about the crystalline perfection of the oxygen sublattice.
Ion-channeling and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) techniques were used to examine the microstructure of single-crystal Y2O3 stabilized cubic zirconia (YSZ) after implantation with 240 keV Xe+ ions. The observed microstructure was related to Knoop indentation hardness measurements. These measurements showed an increase in hardness for low ion-doses, reaching some maximum value, then a decrease in hardness at higher doses. In the hardening regime, below 7.5 × 1015 Xe+/cm2, point defects and dislocation networks were observed by TEM. Ion-channeling showed a corresponding increase in damage as a function of ion-dose. For doses between 7.5 × 1015 and 3 × 1016 Xe+/cm2 the hardness falls, and the amount of damage, measured with ion-channeling, reaches a limiting value at less than complete damage. In this dose range the Xe concentration continues to increase beyond the dose where the amount of damage saturates. For high doses, greater than 3 × 1016 Xe+/cm2, where softening of the zirconia occurs, additional reflections appear in the electron diffraction pattern that are consistent with the lattice parameter of solid Xe. A diffuse ring is also visible; this is believed to be due to the presence of fluid Xe. Both ion-channeling and TEM show that a significant amount of monocrystalline zirconia remains even up to doses of 1 × 1017 Xe+/cm2. There is also evidence for the presence of recrystallized zirconia at the high doses. Since so much crystalline material remains, it seems that amorphization of the zirconia is not the dominant cause of the softening at high doses.