We find the optimally time-dependent (OTD) orthogonal modes about a time-varying flow generated by a strong gust vortex impacting a NACA 0012 airfoil. This OTD analysis reveals the amplification characteristics of perturbations about the unsteady base flow and their amplified spatiotemporal structures that evolve over time. We consider four time-varying laminar base flows in which a vortex with a strength corresponding to the gust ratio $G$ of $\{-1,-0.5,0.5,1\}$ impinges on the leading edge of the airfoil at an angle of attack of $12^\circ$. In these cases, the impingement of the strong gust vortex causes massive separation and the generation of large-scale vortices around the airfoil within two convective time units. As these flow structures develop around the airfoil on a short time scale, the airfoil experiences large transient vortical lift variations in the positive and negative directions that are approximately five to ten times larger than the baseline lift. The highly unsteady nature of these vortex–airfoil interactions necessitates an advanced analytical technique capable of capturing the transient perturbation dynamics. For each of the considered gust ratios, the OTD analysis identifies the most amplified region to perturbations, the location of which changes as the wake evolves differently. For interactions between a moderate positive vortex gust ($G=0.5$) and the airfoil, the area where perturbations are amplified transitions from the leading-edge vortex (LEV) sheet to the forming LEV. Later, this most amplified structure becomes supported in the airfoil wake directly behind the trailing edge. In contrast, a strong vortex gust ($G=\pm 1$) encountered by the airfoil shows the most amplified OTD mode to appear around the core of the shed vortices. This study provides an analysis technique and fundamental insights into the broader family of unsteady aerodynamic problems.

Understanding the linear growth of disturbances due to external forcing is crucial for flow stability analysis, flow control, and uncertainty quantification. These applications typically require a large number of forward simulations of the forced linearized dynamics, often in a brute-force fashion. When dealing with simple steady-state or periodic base flows, there exist powerful and cost-effective solution operator techniques. Once these solution operators are constructed, they can be used to determine the response to various forcings with negligible computational cost. However, these methods do not apply to problems with arbitrarily time-dependent base flows. This paper develops and investigates reduced-order modelling with time-dependent bases to build low-rank solution operators for forced linearized dynamics with arbitrarily time-dependent base flows. In particular, we use forced optimally time-dependent decomposition (f-OTD), which extracts the time-dependent correlated structures of the flow response to various excitations. Several demonstrations are included to illustrate the utility of the f-OTD low-rank approximation for performing global transient stability analysis. Additionally, we demonstrate the application of f-OTD in computing the post-transient response of linearized Navier–Stokes equations to a large number of impulses, which has applications in flow control.