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9 - Railroads, Separatist Mobilization, and Conflict*

from Part III - Nationalist State Transformation and War

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 November 2025

Lars-Erik Cederman
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Luc Girardin
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Carl Müller-Crepon
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
Yannick I. Pengl
Affiliation:
ETH Zürich, Switzerland
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Summary

Finally, Chapter 9 uses the gradual expansion of the European railway network 1816–1945 to investigate how this key technological driver of modernization affected ethnic separatism. Combining new historical data on ethnic settlement areas, conflict, and railway construction, we test how railroads affected separatist conflict and successful secession as well as independence claims among peripheral ethnic groups. Difference-in-differences, event study, and instrumental variable models show that, on average, railway-based modernization increased separatist mobilization and secession. These effects concentrate in countries with small groups in power, weak state capacity, and low levels of economic development, as well as in large ethnic minority regions. Exploring causal mechanisms, we show how railway networks can facilitate mobilization by increasing the internal connectivity of ethnic regions or hamper it by boosting state reach. Overall, our findings call for a more nuanced understanding of the effects of European modernization on nation building.

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Type
Chapter
Information
Nationalism and the Transformation of the State
Border Change and Political Violence in the Modern World
, pp. 203 - 225
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2025
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This content is Open Access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/cclicenses/

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