A Variationist Analysis
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 03 December 2025
Focusing on the variation between modal auxiliaries indicating future time reference in recent spoken data, this study examines whether advanced EFL learners have adopted ongoing changes in core versus semi-modals, and whether the choice of the modal auxiliary is governed by similar structural variables as in native varieties, in this case, British and American English. We adopt a generalized linear mixed model tree analysis in two steps: (1) the alternation between will and be going to, with their different forms collapsed together, and (2) the alternations between be going to versus gonna, and will versus its contracted forms separately. Our results indicate that the English of foreign language learners is shaped by similar processes of change that influence native language varieties, but also that some learner groups are more similar to native speakers than others. Methodologically, the two-step approach ensures that subtle grammatical conditioning is not masked by uneven distribution of variants.
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