Life on Earth can be (has been) affected by various phenomena of non-biological or extraterrestrial origin, such as worldwide volcanic eruptions, the impacts of asteroids and comets, solar storms, the evolution of the Sun, supernova explosion, cosmic ray showers, …
These phenomena and the associated catastrophes can be grouped into different categories depending on its origin: terrestrial, solar system, galactic, and extragalactic, and the final destiny of the Universe. We will shortly described many of the identified risks and compare them by the degree of affectation for Life and Humanity.
The time scales and the area on Earth affected by each phenomenon vary considerably among them. We list the phenomena that can affect a region the size of a country, a continent, or a global catastrophe. However, we note that, given humanity’s degree of global economic and social interdependence, a local-scale phenomenon can even have global consequences.
The risks can be further classified in random and deterministic. Random threats are those associated with an event that has a certain probability of occurrence on a time scale, but we do not the exact date in the future, i.e.: an asteroid impact or a supernova explosion. Deterministic threats are those that will surely occur in a range of time in the future, i.e.: the evolution of the Sun into a red giant.
This comparative study will analyze what the “certainties” are (in statistical terms) about the different phenomena of extraterrestrial origin that will affect life on Earth on different geographical and temporal scales.