Hostname: page-component-54dcc4c588-9xpg2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-09-27T20:03:37.255Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Factor Analysis of Disaster and Evacuation Awareness in Japan: Understanding Social Vulnerabilities through Multiple Statistical Approaches

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 September 2025

Akemi Hara
Affiliation:
Department of Research, Medical Governance Research Institute, Minato, Tokyo, Japan
Hirotomo Miyatake
Affiliation:
Yushoukai Medical Corporation Nobishiroclinic Fujisawa, Fujisawa, Kanagawa, Japan
Akihiko Ozaki*
Affiliation:
Department of Research, Medical Governance Research Institute, Minato, Tokyo, Japan Breast and Thyroid Center, https://ror.org/05xya7b65Jyoban Hospital of Tokiwa Foundation , Iwaki, Fukushima, Japan
Michio Murakami
Affiliation:
Center for Infectious Disease Education and Research, https://ror.org/035t8zc32The University of Osaka , Suita, Osaka, Japan
Yoshitake Takebayashi
Affiliation:
Department of Health Risk Communication, https://ror.org/012eh0r35Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine , Fukushima, Fukushima, Japan
Daisuke Hori
Affiliation:
Institute of Medicine, https://ror.org/02956yf07University of Tsukuba , Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Naomi Komori
Affiliation:
Shonan https://ror.org/03azpm588Kamakura University of Medical Sciences , Kamakura, Kanagawa, Japan
Yudai Kaneda
Affiliation:
Clinical Training Center, Jyoban Hospital of Tokiwa Foundation, Iwaki, Fukushima, Japan
Hiroaki Saito
Affiliation:
Department of Internal Medicine, Soma Central Hospital, Soma, Fukushima, Japan Department of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Fukushima, Japan
Masaharu Tsubokura
Affiliation:
Department of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Fukushima, Japan
Takahiro Tabuchi
Affiliation:
Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
*
Corresponding author: Akihiko Ozaki; Email: ozakiakihiko@gmail.com

Abstract

Objective

This study examined how social vulnerability factors—such as caregiving, economic instability, and nonregular employment—affect disaster preparedness and awareness, with a focus on nonlinear associations with evacuation and disaster awareness.

Study Design

Cross-sectional analysis of a nationally representative survey

Methods

Data came from the 2023 Japan COVID-19 and Society Internet Survey (JACSIS), including 28,481 participants. Factor analysis identified two preparedness domains: evacuation awareness and disaster preparedness awareness. Generalized linear models (GLM) assessed associations between awareness scores and sociodemographic and health factors. Sensitivity analysis used a random forest model, and logistic regression examined predictors of low awareness.

Results

Two factors explained 76% of variance in preparedness behaviors. GLM showed that older age (Estimate = 10.99, P < .001), larger household size (Estimate = 4.34, P < .001), high income (Estimate = 0.08, P < .001), and community attachment (Estimate = 0.09, P < .001) were positively related to evacuation awareness, while nonregular employment (Estimate = -0.03, P = .01) and public assistance (Estimate = -0.05, P < .001) were negatively associated. Logistic regression confirmed that reliance on public assistance (OR = 1.54, 95% CI [1.26, 1.87]) and nonregular employment increased odds of low preparedness.

Conclusions

Social vulnerability factors are linked to lower disaster awareness, identifying a subgroup at higher risk. Preparedness policies should account for demographic and economic disparities, emphasizing tailored, community-based strategies to improve resilience among vulnerable populations.

Information

Type
Original Research
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Article purchase

Temporarily unavailable

References

Adger, N, Hughes, T, Folke, C, et al. Social-ecological resilience to coastal disasters. Science. 2005;309(5737):10361039. doi:10.1126/science.1112122CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Burleson, E. Energy Revolution and Disaster Response in the Face of Climate Change. 2011.Google Scholar
Kelman, I, Gaillard, J, Mercer, J. Climate change’s role in disaster risk reduction’s future: beyond vulnerability and resilience. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. 2015;6(1):2127. doi:10.1007/s13753-015-0038-5CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Companion, M, Chaiken, M. Responses to Disasters and Climate Change: Understanding Vulnerability and Fostering Resilience. CRC Press; 2016. doi:10.1201/9781315315928CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dept, Pacific. Building Resilience in Developing Countries Vulnerable to Large Natural Disasters. International Monetary Fund; 2019. doi:10.5089/9781498321020.007CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aitsi-Selmi, A, Egawa, S, Sasaki, H, et al. The Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction: renewing the global commitment to people’s resilience, health, and well-being. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. 2015;6(2):164176. doi:10.1007/s13753-015-0050-9CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Costella, C, Ivaschenko, O. Integrating Disaster Response and Climate Resilience in Social Protection Programs in the Pacific Island Countries. Published September 1, 2015. doi:10.1596/22942.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sapirstein, G. Social resilience: the forgotten dimension of disaster risk reduction. Jamba: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies. 2006;1(1). doi:10.4102/jamba.v1i1.8CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Freitas, CM, Carvalho, ML, Ximenes, EF, et al. Vulnerabilidade socioambiental, redução de riscos de desastres e construção da resiliência: lições do terremoto no Haiti e das chuvas fortes na Região Serrana, Brasil. Ciência & Saúde Coletiva. 2012;17(6):15771586. doi:10.1590/s1413-81232012000600021CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Birchall, SJ, Bonnett, N, Kehler, S. The influence of governance structure on local resilience: Enabling and constraining factors for climate change adaptation in practice. Urban Climate. 2023;47:101348. doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101348CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, JE. How to improve disaster resilience in the climate crisis. Journal of Safety and Crisis Management. 2022;10:2536. doi:10.14251/jscm.2022.10.25Google Scholar
Kapucu, N, Sadiq, A. Disaster policies and governance: promoting community resilience. Politics and Governance. 2016;4(4):8995. doi:10.17645/pag.v4i4.829CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nishiyama, M, Glauberman, G. Disaster preparedness among foreign residents in a rural area of Japan: a qualitative pilot study. Preprint. Health and Environmental Development Network; September 8, 2020. doi:10.24298/hedn.2020-0013CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adu-Gyamfi, B, Shaw, R. Risk awareness and impediments to disaster preparedness of foreign residents in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area, Japan. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022;19(18):11469. doi:10.3390/ijerph191811469CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Onuma, H, Shin, K, Managi, S. Household preparedness for natural disasters: impact of disaster experience and implications for future disaster risks in Japan. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 2017;23:7176. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.11.004Google Scholar
Lee, J. Post-disaster trust in Japan: the social impact of the experiences and perceived risks of natural hazards. J Risk Res. 2020;23(3):392406. doi:10.1080/17477891.2019.1664380Google Scholar
Pastrana-Huguet, J, Casado-Claro, M, Gavari-Starkie, E. Japan’s culture of prevention: how Bosai culture combines cultural heritage with state-of-the-art disaster risk management systems. Sustainability. 2022;14(21):13742. doi:10.3390/su142113742CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakai, F, Nakano, G. Community-mediated individual disaster preparedness practices: a case study in Kochi, Japan. Preprint. Social Science Research Network; February 1, 2023. doi:10.2139/ssrn.4197969CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, JS. The direction of Japan’s disaster prevention 4.0 and local government disaster prevention policy: focusing on independent disaster prevention organizations. Community and Crisis Management Review. 2021;5(1):4158. doi:10.51394/ccmr.2021.5.1.41Google Scholar
Bhandari, A, Takahashi, O. Disaster preparedness among Nepalese residing in Japan: a mini-review. Austin J Public Health Epidemiol. 2022;9(3):1136. doi:10.26420/austinjpublichealthepidemiol.2022.1136Google Scholar
Okuyama, N, Inaba, Y. Influence of natural disasters on social engagement and post-disaster well-being: the case of the Great East Japan Earthquake. Japan and the World Economy. 2017;44:6776. doi:10.1016/j.japwor.2017.10.001CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tanaka, H, Tabuchi, T, Katanoda, K. Awareness of COVID-19 vaccination status and utilization of vaccination certificates: findings from the September-October 2021 JACSIS survey. Japanese Journal of Public Health. 2022;70(3):276284. doi:10.11236/jph.22-061Google Scholar
Hara, R, Asami, M, Sakano, Y, et al. Association between self-imposed restrictions on outings and weight gain following the spread of COVID-19 in Japan: findings from the JACSIS survey. Journal of the National Institute of Public Health. 2022;71(4):357366. doi:10.20683/jniph.71.4_357Google Scholar
Kawane, T, Ozaki, Y, Suresh, D, et al. Social innovation and disaster risk reduction in Japan: Challenges and opportunities. Disaster Prevention and Resilience. 2024;3(3). doi:10.20517/dpr.2024.07CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakai, F, Nakano, G. Community-mediated individual disaster preparedness practices: a case study in Kochi, Japan. Preprint. Social Science Research Network; February 1, 2023. doi:10.2139/ssrn.4197969CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ochiai, C, Asada, M, Kobayashi, M. Study on mechanism and activities of traditional community-based disaster preparedness in Japan. Reports of the City Planning Institute of Japan. 2009;8(3):158. doi:10.11361/reportscpij.8.3_158CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prabhakar, S, Iwata, Y, Shaw, R, et al. Climate change implications for disaster risk management in Japan: a case study on perceptions of risk management personnel and communities in Saijo City. J Risk Res. 2012;15(8):957976. doi:10.1080/17477891.2011.618821Google Scholar
Cho, PK. A study on improvement of local disaster prevention through resident communities: focusing on Japan’s district disaster prevention plan. Journal of Regional Disaster Prevention. 2023;21(2):5563. doi:10.22313/reik.2023.21.2.55Google Scholar
Fatemi, F, Ardalan, A, Aguirre, B, et al. Social vulnerability indicators in disasters: findings from a systematic review. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 2017;22:219227. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.09.006CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cong, Z, Feng, G, Chen, Z. Disaster exposure and patterns of disaster preparedness: a multilevel social vulnerability and engagement perspective. J Environ Manage. 2023;330:117798. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117798CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Howard, A, Agllias, K, Bevis, M, et al. How social isolation affects disaster preparedness and response in Australia: implications for social work. Australian Social Work. 2018;71(1):8597. doi:10.1080/0312407x.2018.1487461Google Scholar
Boon, H. Preparedness and vulnerability: an issue of equity in Australian disaster situations. Australian Journal of Emergency Management. 2013;28(3).Google Scholar
Fatemi, F, Ardalan, A, Aguirre, B, et al. Social vulnerability indicators in disasters: findings from a systematic review. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 2017;22:219227. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.09.006CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Azmi, N, Hashim, R, Zamhury, N. Flash floods and people preparedness in anticipating disaster in Malaysia. In: 2012 IEEE Symposium on Humanities, Science and Engineering Research. IEEE; 2012:7680. doi:10.1109/shuser.2012.6268806Google Scholar
Sun, LG, Daniels, B, Spencer, D, et al. Disaster vulnerability. Preprint. Social Science Research Network; March 15, 2021. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3807674CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jang, L. Disaster resilience: constructing a disaster resistant community. FHK Journal of Disaster Management. 2009;12(3):1525. doi:10.29857/fhkaj.200912.0002Google Scholar
DeYoung, SE, Lewis, DC, Seponski, DM, et al. Disaster preparedness and well-being among Cambodian– and Laotian–Americans. Disaster Prevention and Management. 2019;28(5):634648. doi:10.1108/dpm-01-2019-0034Google Scholar
Tada, M, Iwamoto, S, Kubo, H, et al. Relationship between disaster prevention awareness and preparedness among residents living in mountainous areas of Japan. Health and Environmental Development Network. 2020;9(1). doi:10.24298/hedn.2020-0010Google Scholar
Amao, Y, Yamazaki, Y, Takagi, A. A gap between disaster preparedness and awareness about flood risk. Journal of Integrated Public Safety. 2007;24:299306. doi:10.2208/journalip.24.299Google Scholar
Çelik, İH. A research on vocational school students within the framework of disaster awareness and disaster preparedness levels. Disaster Awareness Journal. 2023;12:4558. doi:10.35341/afet.1236274Google Scholar
Ludin, SM, Firdaus, MK, Arbon, P. The concept of community disaster resilience: adaptation of an Australian resilience scorecard for Malaysian communities. In: Heggy, M, Lee, J, Zekry, AI, eds. Disaster Management and Public Safety. Springer; 2022:407420. doi:10.1007/978-981-16-7401-3_10Google Scholar
Nirupama, N, Popper, T, Quirke, A. Role of social resilience in mitigating disasters. International Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment. 2015;6(4):363377. doi:10.1108/ijdrbe-09-2013-0039CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kyne, D. An exploratory study on the association between community resilience and disaster preparedness in the Rio Grande Valley. Social Sciences. 2023;12(9):496. doi:10.3390/socsci12090496CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Doğulu, C, Ikizer, G, Karanci, A. A psychosocial perspective on community resilience and preparedness in the context of earthquakes in Turkey. Geological Society, London, Special Publications. 2020;501(1):291303. doi:10.1144/sp501-2019-110Google Scholar
Alshehri, S, Rezgui, Y, Li, H. Community resilience factors to disaster in Saudi Arabia: the case of Makkah Province. In: Brebbia, CA, Beriatos, E, eds. Disaster Management and Human Health Risk IV. WIT Press; 2013:131141. doi:10.2495/dman130321Google Scholar
Kwon, SA, Ryu, SI. A study on the influence of social capital on community disaster resilience. Journal of Safety and Crisis Management. 2020;16(4):233244. doi:10.14251/jscm.2020.4.33Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Hara et al. supplementary material

Hara et al. supplementary material
Download Hara et al. supplementary material(File)
File 82 KB