Hostname: page-component-7dd5485656-2pp2p Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-10-31T06:18:27.393Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Toward an integrated science and sociotecture of intentional change

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 August 2014

Robert Costanza  and
Paul Atkins
Robert Costanza
Affiliation:
Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University, Canberra 0200 ACT, Australia. robert.costanza@anu.edu.au https://crawford.anu.edu.au/crawford_people/content/staff/rcostanza.php paul.atkins@anu.edu.au https://crawford.anu.edu.au/crawford_people/content/staff/patkins.php
Paul Atkins
Affiliation:
Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University, Canberra 0200 ACT, Australia. robert.costanza@anu.edu.au https://crawford.anu.edu.au/crawford_people/content/staff/rcostanza.php paul.atkins@anu.edu.au https://crawford.anu.edu.au/crawford_people/content/staff/patkins.php
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

We heartily agree with the target article and focus on how positive sociocultural change can be accelerated through the systematic use of scenario planning – what we call sociotecture. Scenario planning is a design process for the creation and selection of symbotypes that make a positive difference. It cuts through complexity by integrating cognitive and affective processes across multiple scales.

Information

Type
Open Peer Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 37 , Issue 4 , August 2014 , pp. 421 - 422
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Article purchase

Temporarily unavailable

References

Arthur, W. B. (1988) Self-reinforcing mechanisms in economics. In: The economy as an evolving complex system, ed. Anderson, P. W., Arrow, K. J. & Pines, D., pp. 9–31. Addison-Wesley.Google Scholar
Beddoe, R., Costanza, R., Farley, J., Garza, E., Kent, J., Kubiszewski, I., Martinez, L., McCowen, T., Murphy, K., Myers, N., Ogden, Z., Stapleton, K. & Woodward, J. (2009) Overcoming systemic roadblocks to sustainability: The evolutionary redesign of worldviews, institutions and technologies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106:2483–89.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bohensky, E. L., Butler, J., Costanza, R., Bohnet, I., Delisle, A., Fabricius, K., Gooch, M., Kubiszewski, I., Lukacs, G., Pert, P. & Wolanski, E. (2011) Future makers or future takers? A scenario analysis of climate change and the Great Barrier Reef. Global Environmental Change 21:876–93. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.009.Google Scholar
Costanza, R. (1987) Social traps and environmental policy. BioScience 37:407–12.Google Scholar
Costanza, R. (2000) Visions of alternative (unpredictable) futures and their use in policy analysis. Conservation Ecology 4(1):5. Available at: http://www.consecol.org/vol4/iss1/art5.Google Scholar
Costanza, R., Wainger, L., Folke, C. & Mäler, K.-G. (1993) Modeling complex ecological economic systems: Toward an evolutionary, dynamic understanding of people and nature. BioScience 43:545–55.Google Scholar
Costanza, R., Graumlich, L. Steffen, W., Crumley, C., Dearing, J., Hibbard, K., Leemans, R., Redman, C. & Schimel, D. (2007) Sustainability or collapse: What can we learn from integrating the history of humans and the rest of nature? Ambio 36:522–27.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Diamond, J. (2005) Collapse: How societies choose to fail or succeed. Viking.Google Scholar
DTI (Department of Trade and Industry) (2003) Foresight futures 2020: Revised scenarios and guidance. DTI. Available at: http://www.foresight.gov.uk.Google Scholar
European Environment Agency (2009) Looking back on looking forward: A review of evaluative scenario literature. Tech. Report No. 3, Copenhagen, Denmark. European Environment Agency.Google Scholar
Evans, K., Velarde, S. J., Prieto, R., Rao, S. N., Sertzen, S., Dávila, K., Cronkleton, P. & de Jong, W. (2006) Field guide to the future: Four ways for communities to think ahead. In: Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR), ASB, ed. Bennett, E. & Zurek, M.. World Agroforestry Centre. Nairobi. Available at: http://www.cifor.org/publications/pdf_files/Books/BCronkleton0601.pdf.Google Scholar
Gallopín, G. C. (2002) Planning for resilience: Scenarios, surprises and branch points. In: Panarchy: Understanding transformations in human and natural systems, ed. Gunderson, L. & Holling, C. S., pp. 361–92. Island Press.Google Scholar
Gallopín, G., Hammond, A., Raskin, P. & Swart, R. (1997) Branch points: Global scenarios and human choice. PoleStar Series Report No. 7. Stockholm Environment Institute.Google Scholar
Heckbert, S., Isendahl, C., Gunn, J., Brewer, S., Scarborough, V., Chase, A. F., Chase, D. Z., Costanza, R., Dunning, N., Beach, T., Luzzadder-Beach, S., Lentz, D. & Sinclair, P. (in press) Growing the ancient Maya social-ecological system from the bottom up. In: Applied Archaeology, Historical Ecology and the Useable Past, ed. Isendahl, C. & Stump, D.. Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Kahane, A. (2004) Solving tough problems: An open way of talking, listening, and creating new realities. Berrett-Koehler.Google Scholar
Kahane, A. (1992) The Mont Fleur scenarios. Deeper News 7:1–22.Google Scholar
MA (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment) (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: Synthesis. Island Press.Google Scholar
Nakićenović, N. & Swart, R., eds. (2000) Emissions scenarios. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Peterson, G. D., Cumming, G. S. & Carpenter, S. R. (2003) Scenario planning: A tool for conservation in an uncertain world. Conservation Biology 17:358–66.Google Scholar
Raskin, P., Banuri, T., Gallopín, G., Gutman, P., Hammond, A., Kates, R. & Swart, R. (2002) Great transition: The promise and lure of the times ahead. Stockholm Environment Institute.Google Scholar
Shell International (2003) Scenarios: An explorer's guide. Global Business Environment. Available at: http://s05.static-shell.com/content/dam/shell/static/public/downloads/brochures/corporate-pkg/scenarios/explorers-guide.pdf.Google Scholar
Tainter, J. A. (1988) The collapse of complex societies. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Wack, P. (1985) Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review 63:72–89.Google Scholar
Wollenberg, E., Edmunds, D. & Buck, L. (2000) Using scenarios to make decisions about the future: Anticipatory learning for the adaptive co-management of community forests. Landscape and Urban Planning 47:65–77.Google Scholar